Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

ActivePolitics12 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

December 31 leads at 16.5%, ahead of October 31 (6.5%) and September 30 (0.05%).

24h volume: $222.9K
Total volume: $16.3M
Whales: 32
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 12Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

December 31$1.4M vol16.5%−1.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢

October 31$1.0M vol6.5%−1.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

September 30$4.2M vol0.05%−0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

May 31$1.3M vol · resolved0.0%−0.3

June 30$1.2M vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

June 15$221.1K vol · resolved0.0%-

June 22$129.3K vol · resolved0.0%-

July 31$1.4M vol · resolved0.0%-

August 31$2.6M vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

September 15$831.1K vol · resolved0.0%-

March 31$330.3K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2

April 30$1.7M vol · resolved0.0%-

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$12

All trades · 5m6

Buy pressure50%

@SuperavitFiscalWhale2h ago

$7,949 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 8,456
Profit if right: $507

@DiaMatWhale6h ago

$6,110 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 6,500
Profit if right: $390

@Bukaj0889Whale6h ago

$5,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 5,376
Profit if right: $376

@65765757Whale10h ago

$6,457 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 7,780
Profit if right: $1,323

@65765757Whale10h ago

$5,749 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 6,182
Profit if right: $433

@mr.oziWhale18h ago

$26,173 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 31,534
Profit if right: $5,361

@DebosnysWhale1d ago

$6,013 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 6,019
Profit if right: $6

@thoodrWhale2d ago

$6,922 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,524
Profit if right: $602

@textureWhale2d ago

$25,022 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 25,047
Profit if right: $25

@37ordinaryWhale2d ago

$14,063 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 14,077
Profit if right: $14

@Jest55Whale3d ago

$6,515 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,082
Profit if right: $567

@Jest55Whale4d ago

$8,370 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $630

@hosoon123Whale4d ago

$13,950 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,050

@LulaVaiPerderWhale4d ago

$13,838 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 14,881
Profit if right: $1,043

@roroelguapoWhale5d ago

$5,152 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,600
Profit if right: $448

@TheRealWarMongerWhale5d ago

$5,362 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,378
Profit if right: $16

@marchonnowWhale5d ago

$6,045 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 6,500
Profit if right: $455

@VanquishWhale6d ago

$5,299 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,759
Profit if right: $461

@TigerofthehoodWhale6d ago

$8,200 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.82
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,800

@AlpheoWhale6d ago

$13,650 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,350

@pagliacci4Whale6d ago

$5,480 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,502
Profit if right: $22

@ShardioWhale8d ago