Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

ActiveSoccer31 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

Harry Kane leads at 47.3%, ahead of Lamine Yamal (43.0%) and Lionel Messi (2.8%).

24h volume: $344.1K
Total volume: $44.2M
Whales: 17
Fresh wallets: 20

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 31Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Harry Kane$5.0M vol47.3%+1.8Buy Yes 47.3¢Buy No 52.7¢

Lamine Yamal$3.5M vol43.0%−3.8Buy Yes 43.0¢Buy No 57.0¢

Lionel Messi$3.8M vol2.8%+0.1Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.3¢

Kylian Mbappé$3.1M vol2.6%−0.1Buy Yes 2.6¢Buy No 97.3¢

Rodri$2.6M vol1.9%+0.7Buy Yes 1.9¢Buy No 98.0¢

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$2.2M vol0.60%-Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Ousmane Dembélé$3.1M vol0.45%−0.1Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Michael Olise$2.3M vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Erling Haaland$2.4M vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Fabian Ruiz$1.9M vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Jude Bellingham$1.5M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Vinícius Júnior$1.1M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$137

All trades · 5m22

Buy pressure50%

0x28f3…7cf9Fresh9h ago

$600 buying No on Rodri

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 612
Profit if right: $12

@AZwaterWhale17h ago

$10,140 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 10,400
Profit if right: $260

@AZwaterWhale22h ago

$13,772 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 14,096
Profit if right: $324

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$699 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,552
Profit if right: $852

@makrame7Fresh1d ago

$677 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,500
Profit if right: $824

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$628 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,390
Profit if right: $762

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$690 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.46
Shares: 1,500
Profit if right: $810

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$564 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 1,119
Profit if right: $555

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$605 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 1,200
Profit if right: $595

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$1,664 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 3,200
Profit if right: $1,536

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$612 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.44
Shares: 1,400
Profit if right: $788

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$830 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.44
Shares: 1,900
Profit if right: $1,070

@twnormieWhale1d ago

$7,000 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 7,141
Profit if right: $141

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$683 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 1,594
Profit if right: $912

@cubarsipauFresh1d ago

$716 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 1,650
Profit if right: $934

@cubarsipauFresh2d ago

$692 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 1,600
Profit if right: $908

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$727 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 1,898
Profit if right: $1,172

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$586 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 1,526
Profit if right: $941

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$590 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,325
Profit if right: $735

@TradingWaveWhale3d ago

$5,231 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.56
Shares: 9,391
Profit if right: $4,160

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$4,429 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.44
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,571

@jobscodeFresh3d ago

$2,000 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.56
Shares: 3,547
Profit if right: $1,547

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$579 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 1,520
Profit if right: $941

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$5,626 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 12,525
Profit if right: $6,899

@RobyMainWhale3d ago

$9,086 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 16,487
Profit if right: $7,401

@jobscodeFresh3d ago

$600 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 1,112
Profit if right: $512

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$677 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 1,777
Profit if right: $1,100

@thoodrWhale3d ago

$7,784 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $216

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$1,464 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 3,499
Profit if right: $2,035

@ahvgsyrFresh3d ago

$1,739 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 4,300
Profit if right: $2,562

@kraben006Fresh3d ago

$500 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 1,437
Profit if right: $937

@bearbees2Whale3d ago

$26,614 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 27,355
Profit if right: $741

@kraben006Fresh3d ago

$513 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 1,433
Profit if right: $920

@OkgoogleWhale4d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 10,456
Profit if right: $5,456

@schizohedgehogWhale4d ago

$10,055 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 10,447
Profit if right: $392

0x68c3…568fFresh4d ago

$898 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 1,910
Profit if right: $1,012

@WinninghumblyWhale5d ago

$7,028 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 7,283
Profit if right: $255

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$504 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.46
Shares: 1,106
Profit if right: $602

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$6,612 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 14,622
Profit if right: $8,010

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$1,761 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 3,668
Profit if right: $1,907

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$9,227 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 19,243
Profit if right: $10,016

0xe488…c877Fresh5d ago

$567 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,267
Profit if right: $700

0xe488…c877Fresh5d ago

$500 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,117
Profit if right: $617

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$5,887 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 13,100
Profit if right: $7,213

@sfedkFresh5d ago

$6,000 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 13,324
Profit if right: $7,324

@boyauWhale5d ago

$9,500 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $500

@NllakskFresh5d ago

$965 buying Yes on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.05
Shares: 18,698
Profit if right: $17,733

@Alelu9292Fresh6d ago

$517 buying No on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.56
Shares: 929
Profit if right: $412

@Alelu9292Fresh6d ago

$500 buying No on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 904
Profit if right: $404

@ledgersurpolWhale6d ago

$5,280 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 5,505
Profit if right: $225

@NllakskFresh6d ago

$600 buying Yes on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.06
Shares: 9,934
Profit if right: $9,334

@NllakskFresh6d ago

$500 buying Yes on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.05
Shares: 9,980
Profit if right: $9,480

@RusijanaFresh7d ago

$600 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.32
Shares: 1,884
Profit if right: $1,284

@RodriIsOnFireFresh7d ago

$1,000 buying Yes on Rodri

Bought at: $0.05
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $19,000

@vit236Fresh8d ago

$973 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.25
Shares: 3,902
Profit if right: $2,929

@Momo63Whale11d ago

$5,003 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,450
Profit if right: $447

@boyauWhale12d ago

$5,606 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 5,907
Profit if right: $301

@boyauWhale13d ago

$7,930 buying No on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,070

@RodriIsOnFireFresh14d ago

$1,000 buying Yes on Rodri

Bought at: $0.05
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $19,000

@k00paWhale16d ago

$5,632 buying No on Lionel Messi

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 5,891
Profit if right: $259

@korianderWhale17d ago

$11,500 buying No on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 12,792
Profit if right: $1,292

@timebrotimeWhale17d ago

$7,230 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.56
Shares: 12,976
Profit if right: $5,746

@IsmabenzFresh30d ago

$1,131 buying Yes on Kylian Mbappé

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 14,124
Profit if right: $12,993

@Kimoo77Fresh34d ago

$2,436 buying Yes on Lamine Yamal

Bought at: $0.16
Shares: 15,076
Profit if right: $12,640

@RodriIsOnFireFresh39d ago

$1,200 buying Yes on Rodri

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $13,800

@tryharder09Fresh41d ago

$2,784 buying Yes on Harry Kane

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 4,519
Profit if right: $1,736

@RodriIsOnFireFresh43d ago

$1,200 buying Yes on Rodri

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $13,800