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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

ActiveRewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec13 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

0 (0 bps) leads at 95.9%, ahead of 1 (25 bps) (1.7%) and 2 (50 bps) (0.95%).

24h volume: $10.0K
Total volume: $53.9M
Whales: 3
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 13Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

0 (0 bps)$8.8M vol95.9%−0.1Buy Yes 95.9¢Buy No 4.1¢

1 (25 bps)$3.5M vol1.7%−0.1Buy Yes 1.7¢Buy No 98.3¢

2 (50 bps)$3.4M vol0.95%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.0¢

3 (75 bps)$3.0M vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

4 (100 bps)$2.7M vol0.20%+0.1Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢

5 (125 bps)$3.0M vol0.10%+0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.9¢

6 (150 bps)$4.2M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

7 (175 bps)$3.5M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

8 (200 bps)$3.3M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

9 (225 bps)$4.3M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

10 (250 bps)$5.0M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

11 (275 bps)$5.3M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.