What are the current odds for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 100.0%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Mar 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $59.74M. Last 24h: $305.9K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $84.6K by elmcap2 entered at 100%. 40 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveKhameneiResolves Mar 31, 2026

Die Insel Kharg steht nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle seit ...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over…

YES

0.0%

100.0%

Volume

$59.74M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

40 tracked

1
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$84.6K
84,812 shares
2
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$52.8K
52,932 shares
3
@elmcap2
No@ 99.6%·3d ago
$52.4K
52,598 shares
4
@Alder
No@ 99.6%·3d ago
$49.8K
50,000 shares
5
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$29.6K
29,689 shares
6
@stupid22
No@ 98.0%·3d ago
$26.4K
26,989 shares
7
@Valen9
No@ 99.6%·2d ago
$25.1K
25,177 shares
8
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·15h ago
$24.0K
24,000 shares
9
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·15h ago
$21.2K
21,292 shares
10
@JamesBonder007
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$19.6K
19,642 shares
11
Bite-Sized-Princess
No@ 99.8%·23h ago
$19.0K
19,000 shares
12
Bite-Sized-Princess
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$15.9K
15,903 shares
13
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$14.7K
14,695 shares
14
@MisTKy3
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$14.0K
14,000 shares
15
@stupid22
No@ 97.9%·4d ago
$11.2K
11,424 shares
16
0xe665…7D42
No@ 95.9%·10h ago
$11.0K
11,456 shares
17
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$10.3K
10,289 shares
18
@Eatpraylove
No@ 99.9%·9h ago
$10.0K
10,000 shares
19
@elmcap2
No@ 99.5%·3d ago
$9.9K
10,000 shares
20
@Valen9
No@ 98.3%·2d ago
$9.6K
9,798 shares
21
@bosshog
No@ 99.5%·3d ago
$9.0K
9,031 shares
22
@RiotValorant
No@ 99.6%·2d ago
$8.7K
8,717 shares
23
@stupid22
No@ 97.9%·3d ago
$8.4K
8,576 shares
24
@RizzEmWithTheTism
No@ 98.3%·3d ago
$8.1K
8,200 shares
25
@anoin123
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$7.8K
7,777 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@hanhanke
No@ 99.9%·1h ago
$11
@Tanjiro.Kamado
Yes@ 0.1%·1h ago
$7
Perky-Compliment
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$88
Few-Grub
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$101
Vague-Wait
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$87
Standard-Trousers
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$116
Fluid-Alias
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$93
Whirlwind-Cheesecake
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$100
@HyperF1eld
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$52
@Nova1Fire
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$57
@saraswati11
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$41
@saraswati11
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$41
@goodmanrebecca
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$41
@cripes3
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$5.0K
@saundersdaniel
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$301
@bradshawbradley
Yes@ 0.2%·4h ago
$1
Big-Miss
No@ 99.8%·4h ago
$86
Repulsive-Close
No@ 99.8%·4h ago
$116
Clear-Painting
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$271
@CosmooKramer
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$299
@bfphfceo
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$55
@mqwdctmx
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$52
@otq1l4duh3cn
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$54
Rigid-Electrocardiogram
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$80
Impure-Baggage
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$86

About this market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Khamenei category, resolving on Mar 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.0% and NO at 100.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 40 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $84.6K on a total market volume of $59.74M. Last 24-hour volume: $305.9K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →