What are the current odds for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 100.0%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Mar 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $71.22M. Last 24h: $92.5K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $19.8K by Alder entered at 99%. 8 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveIran RegimeResolves Mar 31, 2026

Die Insel Kharg steht nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle seit ...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over…

YES

0.0%

100.0%

Volume

$71.22M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

8 tracked

1
@Alder
No@ 99.1%·2d ago
$19.8K
20,000 shares
2
@stupid22
No@ 97.2%·1h ago
$18.9K
19,421 shares
3
@pilimili
No@ 99.2%·1d ago
$16.6K
16,743 shares
4
@Alder
No@ 99.1%·2d ago
$16.0K
16,134 shares
5
@Alpheo
No@ 97.3%·13h ago
$12.5K
12,827 shares
6
@pilimili
No@ 99.2%·1d ago
$8.7K
8,750 shares
7
@Alder
No@ 99.1%·2d ago
$6.9K
6,922 shares
8
@Alder
No@ 99.1%·2d ago
$6.8K
6,819 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@moonbagio
Yes@ 1.1%·13m ago
$3
@Sandoval1553
Yes@ 1.1%·14m ago
$1
Diligent-Scenario
No@ 98.9%·1h ago
$396
Scientific-Guava
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$7
0x1bdb…978c
No@ 92.0%·1h ago
$1
0x507a…3ace
No@ 92.0%·1h ago
$1
0x5449…992b
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$3
Popular-Depth
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$1
@5-testfollower-car
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$0
0xb4f6…eada
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$1
@Car
Yes@ 7.0%·1h ago
$59
@PAntipov
No@ 98.9%·1h ago
$30
@RewardsNinja
No@ 98.9%·1h ago
$150
0xc9fa…8d88
No@ 98.9%·1h ago
$1
@asdfasdav
Yes@ 1.2%·1h ago
$25
Scientific-Guava
Yes@ 8.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
Yes@ 8.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$5
0x5449…992b
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
Yes@ 8.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$5
@1j1
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$2
0x5449…992b
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
Yes@ 8.0%·1h ago
$1
Scientific-Guava
No@ 93.0%·1h ago
$5

About this market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Iran Regime category, resolving on Mar 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.0% and NO at 100.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 8 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $19.8K on a total market volume of $71.22M. Last 24-hour volume: $92.5K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →