Next French Presidential Election

ActiveFrench Election42 outcomesEnds Apr 19, 2027

Marine Le Pen leads at 44.9%, ahead of Édouard Philippe (18.5%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11.5%).

24h volume: $763.5K
Total volume: $144.2M
Whales: 17
Fresh wallets: 20

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 42Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Marine Le Pen$3.1M vol44.9%−0.2Buy Yes 44.9¢Buy No 55.1¢

Édouard Philippe$1.9M vol18.5%+1.0Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$1.9M vol11.5%−1.0Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢

David Lisnard$3.7M vol10.9%−0.8Buy Yes 10.9¢Buy No 89.0¢

François Hollande$2.2M vol3.6%−0.1Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

Gabriel Attal$2.6M vol2.1%-Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$2.0M vol1.6%+0.1Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢

Bruno Retailleau$2.6M vol1.4%+0.1Buy Yes 1.4¢Buy No 98.6¢

Sarah Knafo$2.4M vol1.0%+0.1Buy Yes 1.0¢Buy No 99.0¢

Éric Zemmour$2.7M vol0.95%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.0¢

Jordan Bardella$2.5M vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Dominique de Villepin$2.2M vol0.55%+0.3Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$5

All trades · 5m2

Buy pressure100%

@LlamaLoco0000Whale3h ago

$16,854 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 18,995
Profit if right: $2,141

@LaQuica6Fresh3h ago

$2,500 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.11
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $19,722

0x19c9…7a2bFresh6h ago

$596 buying No on François Ruffin

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 597
Profit if right: $1

0x19c9…7a2bFresh6h ago

$598 buying No on François Ruffin

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 599
Profit if right: $1

0x8a1f…d7fcFresh18h ago

$904 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 2,000
Profit if right: $1,096

@groszizi94Fresh19h ago

$879 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.11
Shares: 8,137
Profit if right: $7,258

@mimenWhale21h ago

$6,576 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 7,347
Profit if right: $771

@LlamaLoco0000Whale21h ago

$22,199 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 24,970
Profit if right: $2,772

@ValouzzCryptobroFresh22h ago

$667 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.12
Shares: 5,585
Profit if right: $4,917

@LlamaLoco0000Whale1d ago

$39,952 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 44,644
Profit if right: $4,692

@LlamaLoco0000Whale1d ago

$88,850 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 99,832
Profit if right: $10,981

@resuilddeWhale1d ago

$10,981 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.11
Shares: 99,832
Profit if right: $88,850

@LlamaLoco0000Whale1d ago

$10,787 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 12,207
Profit if right: $1,420

@JeShortLisnardFresh1d ago

$2,822 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 3,200
Profit if right: $378

@BTCmaxiWhale1d ago

$5,664 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.46
Shares: 12,368
Profit if right: $6,703

@BTCmaxiWhale1d ago

$5,725 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 12,695
Profit if right: $6,969

@LlamaLoco0000Whale1d ago

$8,573 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 9,451
Profit if right: $879

@Sieghart14Fresh1d ago

$8,693 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.09
Shares: 95,110
Profit if right: $86,417

@LlamaLoco0000Whale1d ago

$83,924 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 92,366
Profit if right: $8,442

@LeZ00755874Fresh1d ago

$536 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 1,188
Profit if right: $652

@AltJeremWhale2d ago

$5,448 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,922
Profit if right: $474

@Sieghart14Fresh2d ago

$3,334 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 40,806
Profit if right: $37,472

@Sieghart14Fresh2d ago

$2,402 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.09
Shares: 26,694
Profit if right: $24,291

@gumetyFresh2d ago

$960 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 11,999
Profit if right: $11,039

@BurstedWhale2d ago

$7,018 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 15,683
Profit if right: $8,665

@Shuri75Fresh2d ago

$3,228 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 40,354
Profit if right: $37,125

@1tradeFresh2d ago

$5,447 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.44
Shares: 12,348
Profit if right: $6,902

@bastipnFresh2d ago

$555 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 6,980
Profit if right: $6,425

@LlamaLoco0000Whale2d ago

$51,131 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 55,577
Profit if right: $4,446

@LaMecheMoonWhale2d ago

$5,358 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 67,063
Profit if right: $61,705

@LlamaLoco0000Whale3d ago

$6,903 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,504
Profit if right: $600

@LlamaLoco0000Whale3d ago

$10,461 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 11,370
Profit if right: $910

@LlamaLoco0000Whale3d ago

$13,612 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 14,796
Profit if right: $1,184

@BurstedWhale3d ago

$5,317 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 12,340
Profit if right: $7,023

@BurstedWhale3d ago

$8,069 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 19,167
Profit if right: $11,098

@DonPablo420Fresh4d ago

$717 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 9,227
Profit if right: $8,510

@biboutouWhale4d ago

$58,302 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 62,691
Profit if right: $4,388

@biboutouFresh4d ago

$46,471 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 50,001
Profit if right: $3,530

@LlamaLoco0000Whale4d ago

$20,783 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 22,590
Profit if right: $1,807

@ladab01Fresh4d ago

$2,381 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 30,058
Profit if right: $27,677

@rosigeoFresh4d ago

$834 buying No on Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 981
Profit if right: $147

@lastminwinWhale5d ago

$5,203 buying No on Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,121
Profit if right: $918

@LlamaLoco0000Whale5d ago

$5,515 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,995
Profit if right: $480

@sdhykyWhale5d ago

$13,171 buying No on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.58
Shares: 22,748
Profit if right: $9,577

@ThibaudWhale5d ago

$12,164 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 30,004
Profit if right: $17,840

@ThibaudWhale5d ago

$9,808 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 23,296
Profit if right: $13,488

@lastminwinWhale6d ago

$7,551 buying No on Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 8,946
Profit if right: $1,395

@Vietnam7Whale7d ago

$7,749 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,469
Profit if right: $720

@RattleheadFresh8d ago

$700 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 762
Profit if right: $62

@Vietnam7Whale8d ago

$10,748 buying No on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 11,740
Profit if right: $992

@HerrieDavisWhale13d ago

$7,453 buying No on Ségolène Royal

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 7,636
Profit if right: $183

@oolacillllFresh13d ago

$19,894 buying No on Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 22,607
Profit if right: $2,713

@LlamaLoco0000Whale15d ago

$15,676 buying No on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 25,222
Profit if right: $9,547

@BurstedWhale16d ago

$9,915 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 26,264
Profit if right: $16,349

@BurstedWhale17d ago

$20,068 buying Yes on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 55,405
Profit if right: $35,338

@LlamaLoco0000Whale17d ago

$20,569 buying No on Marine Le Pen

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 32,291
Profit if right: $11,721

@lastminwinWhale18d ago

$8,786 buying No on Édouard Philippe

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 11,715
Profit if right: $2,929

@LeRoiSoleilWhale18d ago

$7,760 buying Yes on Édouard Philippe

Bought at: $0.25
Shares: 30,941
Profit if right: $23,181

@lastminwinWhale18d ago

$6,097 buying No on Édouard Philippe

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 8,129
Profit if right: $2,032

@yvann87Fresh24d ago

$1,089 buying Yes on David Lisnard

Bought at: $0.07
Shares: 16,702
Profit if right: $15,613

@PraxoxFresh34d ago

$1,100 buying Yes on Édouard Philippe

Bought at: $0.26
Shares: 4,231
Profit if right: $3,131