US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

ActiveIran12 outcomesEnds Oct 31, 2026

October 5 leads at 99.1%, ahead of October 7 (97.2%) and October 9 (94.5%).

24h volume: $317.9K
Total volume: $6.2M
Whales: 32
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 12Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

1October 5$84.0K vol99.1%+0.9Buy Yes 99.1¢Buy No 0.9¢

2October 7$279.0K vol97.2%+1.7Buy Yes 97.2¢Buy No 2.8¢

3October 9$13.0K vol94.5%+3.5Buy Yes 94.5¢Buy No 5.5¢

4October 12$8.0K vol90.0%+3.0Buy Yes 90.0¢Buy No 10.0¢

5October 15$181.4K vol88.5%+5.5Buy Yes 88.5¢Buy No 11.5¢

6October 31$1.2M vol72.5%+8.0Buy Yes 72.5¢Buy No 27.5¢

7November 15$6.2K vol53.0%+4.5Buy Yes 53.0¢Buy No 47.0¢

8November 30$317.4K vol41.5%+3.0Buy Yes 41.5¢Buy No 58.5¢

9December 31$341.0K vol35.0%+3.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢

10September 20$556.6K vol · resolved100.0%+3.0

11September 25$734.2K vol · resolved100.0%+0.7

12September 30$2.5M vol · resolved100.0%+3.6

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@classifiedWhale1h ago

$5,056 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,108
Profit if right: $51

@classifiedWhale1h ago

$5,056 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,108
Profit if right: $51

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,160 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $31

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,160 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $31

@classifiedWhale1h ago

$5,638 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,695
Profit if right: $57

@classifiedWhale1h ago

$5,638 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,695
Profit if right: $57

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,163 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $28

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,163 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $29

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,160 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $32

@suntoriWhale1h ago

$5,160 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,191
Profit if right: $32

@suntoriWhale2h ago

$5,162 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $30

@suntoriWhale2h ago

$5,162 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $30

@suntoriWhale2h ago

$5,166 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,192
Profit if right: $26

@suntoriWhale2h ago

$5,166 buying Yes on October 5

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 5,191
Profit if right: $26

@camscotWhale14h ago

$17,956 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 20,703
Profit if right: $2,747

@AsteraWhale15h ago

$5,233 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,157
Profit if right: $924

0xfc2f…10c7Whale17h ago

$5,093 buying Yes on October 31

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,907

@VRVTeamWhale19h ago

$5,162 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.68
Shares: 7,591
Profit if right: $2,429

@wubddhWhale1d ago

$6,580 buying Yes on October 7

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $420

@timonjay.Whale2d ago

$8,970 buying Yes on October 7

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 9,619
Profit if right: $649

@purplegattoWhale2d ago

$14,546 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 36,364
Profit if right: $21,818

@AsteraWhale2d ago

$8,716 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,501
Profit if right: $1,785

@purplegattoWhale2d ago

$7,155 buying Yes on October 31

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 11,925
Profit if right: $4,770

@meagainsttheworldWhale2d ago

$6,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $9,000

@Unfinished-JulyWhale4d ago

$29,466 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 29,496
Profit if right: $29

@Obey2162Whale4d ago

$8,091 buying Yes on October 7

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 9,091
Profit if right: $1,000

0xff1e…5e2dWhale4d ago

$8,966 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 22,336
Profit if right: $13,370

@TronOGWhale4d ago

$14,613 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 14,761
Profit if right: $148

@TronOGWhale4d ago

$7,681 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 7,774
Profit if right: $93

@Cbs710Whale5d ago

$9,300 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 9,405
Profit if right: $105

@coinlaundryWhale5d ago

$5,263 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 5,453
Profit if right: $189

@lauremanWhale8d ago

$8,351 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 9,490
Profit if right: $1,139

0xe234…304aWhale8d ago

$6,267 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 12,060
Profit if right: $5,792

@classifiedWhale8d ago

$5,480 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $520

@Ronaldo2100Whale8d ago

$5,290 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 5,688
Profit if right: $398

@faceverificationWhale8d ago

$5,165 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 5,555
Profit if right: $391

@MiuMiuYanWhale8d ago

$13,183 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 14,523
Profit if right: $1,341

@Obey2162Whale8d ago

$18,352 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 20,167
Profit if right: $1,815

@Valen9Whale8d ago

$8,103 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 9,004
Profit if right: $900

@MiuMiuYanWhale8d ago

$17,797 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 20,019
Profit if right: $2,222

@Ronaldo2100Whale9d ago

$10,361 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 12,189
Profit if right: $1,828

@Ronaldo2100Whale9d ago

$8,199 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 9,646
Profit if right: $1,447

@M2sx92kljs42Whale9d ago

$8,696 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 9,995
Profit if right: $1,299

0xc627…cf54Whale9d ago

$6,321 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $0.14
Shares: 45,902
Profit if right: $39,581

@scoutWhale9d ago

$6,963 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 6,977
Profit if right: $14

@MiuMiuYanWhale9d ago

$15,000 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 16,667
Profit if right: $1,667

@MiuMiuYanWhale9d ago

$8,828 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 9,808
Profit if right: $981

@MiuMiuYanWhale9d ago

$69,541 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 77,353
Profit if right: $7,813

@betwickWhale9d ago

$6,713 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $0.10
Shares: 67,128
Profit if right: $60,416

@MiuMiuYanWhale9d ago

$21,062 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 23,496
Profit if right: $2,434

@0x0dD9Whale9d ago

$7,191 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 8,266
Profit if right: $1,075

@betwickWhale11d ago

$16,233 buying No on September 30

Bought at: $0.14
Shares: 118,141
Profit if right: $101,909

@yuahldjWhale11d ago

$73,929 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 85,964
Profit if right: $12,035

@helloblockchainWhale11d ago

$8,673 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 10,085
Profit if right: $1,412

@Warren-BuffettWhale12d ago

$5,467 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 5,624
Profit if right: $157

@wubddhWhale12d ago

$5,045 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 5,195
Profit if right: $150

@mnuop8890Whale13d ago

$21,531 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 22,201
Profit if right: $670

@lauremanWhale13d ago

$5,663 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 5,961
Profit if right: $298

@timonjay.Whale13d ago

$8,000 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 8,909
Profit if right: $909

@Obey2162Whale13d ago

$10,000 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 11,494
Profit if right: $1,494

@yuahldjWhale13d ago

$8,482 buying Yes on September 30

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 9,863
Profit if right: $1,381

@paddaaWhale14d ago

$6,497 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 7,237
Profit if right: $740

0xff1e…5e2dWhale14d ago

$6,659 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 6,666
Profit if right: $7

0xff1e…5e2dWhale14d ago

$12,346 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 12,358
Profit if right: $12

@Cbs710Whale14d ago

$12,470 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 12,601
Profit if right: $131

@MiuMiuYanWhale14d ago

$11,573 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 11,680
Profit if right: $106

@MiuMiuYanWhale14d ago

$9,058 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 9,170
Profit if right: $112

@yuahldjWhale14d ago

$11,679 buying Yes on September 25

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 13,616
Profit if right: $1,938

@yuahldjWhale14d ago

$5,689 buying Yes on October 31

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 12,171
Profit if right: $6,483

@TronOGWhale14d ago

$6,799 buying Yes on September 20

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 6,933
Profit if right: $134