Wird China bis Ende 2026 in Taiwan einmarschieren?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…
YES
5.8%
NO
94.2%
Volume
$37.10M
Stored · 7 days
Largest trades
1 tracked
- 1@wangweibtcNo@ 94.4%·2h ago
$8.0K
8,500 shares
Recent · live
Latest market flow
25 prints
- 0xcb82…8935No@ 94.2%·9m ago
$5
- 0xcb82…8935No@ 94.3%·9m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.2%·10m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.3%·10m ago
$5
- 0x7b52…06a1No@ 94.2%·10m ago
$5
- 0x7b52…06a1No@ 94.3%·10m ago
$5
- 0x8b3c…5513No@ 94.2%·13m ago
$5
- 0x8b3c…5513No@ 94.3%·13m ago
$5
- @809GHJNo@ 94.3%·15m ago
$25
- 0x408c…5effNo@ 94.2%·17m ago
$5
- 0x408c…5effNo@ 94.3%·17m ago
$5
- 0x5f42…e101No@ 94.2%·17m ago
$5
- 0x5f42…e101No@ 94.3%·17m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.2%·19m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.3%·19m ago
$5
- 0x1316…b090No@ 94.2%·19m ago
$5
- 0x1316…b090No@ 94.3%·19m ago
$5
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.2%·21m ago
$6
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.3%·21m ago
$6
- 0xa920…07a4No@ 94.2%·24m ago
$5
- 0xa920…07a4No@ 94.3%·24m ago
$5
- @qwrqwrwNo@ 94.3%·26m ago
$1
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.2%·28m ago
$6
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.3%·28m ago
$6
- 0xe29f…e326No@ 94.2%·28m ago
$8
About this market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Foreign Policy category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 5.8% and NO at 94.2%.
PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $8.0K on a total market volume of $37.10M. Last 24-hour volume: $84.9K.
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