← All Markets
ActiveGeopoliticsResolves Dec 31, 2026

Werden die USA vor 2027 in den Iran einmarschieren?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled …

YES

15.0%

NO

85.0%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

0 tracked

No stored big bets yet

Recent · live

Latest market flow

23 prints

  1. @ZenBear
    Yes@ 15.0%·54m ago

    $105

  2. @GamerBolo
    Yes@ 15.0%·1h ago

    $1

  3. @sagar49cby
    Yes@ 15.0%·1h ago

    $8

  4. 0x0c9b…943e
    No@ 85.0%·1h ago

    $1

  5. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $2

  6. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $3

  7. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $3

  8. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $3

  9. 0xb20b…d46e
    Yes@ 15.0%·2h ago

    $4

  10. @Brahman19
    Yes@ 14.0%·3h ago

    $4

  11. @Dondigidin
    No@ 85.0%·4h ago

    $425

  12. @crypotec
    Yes@ 14.0%·4h ago

    $1

  13. @crypotec
    Yes@ 15.0%·5h ago

    $2

  14. @Mr.orb
    Yes@ 14.0%·6h ago

    $6

  15. $1

  16. $1

  17. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·6h ago

    $10

  18. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·6h ago

    $10

  19. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·6h ago

    $2

  20. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·6h ago

    $2

  21. Harmless-Grenade
    Yes@ 15.0%·6h ago

    $5

  22. @Magzresistance
    Yes@ 15.0%·7h ago

    $100

  23. Humiliating-Junket
    No@ 85.0%·7h ago

    $1

About this market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Geopolitics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 15.0% and NO at 85.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 0 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at no big bets yet on a total market volume of $38.91M. Last 24-hour volume: $41.3K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →