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ActiveMilitary StrikesResolves Dec 31, 2026

Werden die USA vor 2027 in den Iran einmarschieren?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled …

YES

17.0%

NO

83.0%

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

12 tracked

  1. @bullishkirby
    No@ 82.0%·2d ago

    $24.6K

    30,000 shares

  2. @Vilgefortz
    No@ 83.0%·3d ago

    $19.9K

    24,000 shares

  3. @xm39
    Yes@ 18.0%·2d ago

    $17.5K

    97,402 shares

  4. @AngryRhino
    No@ 83.0%·1d ago

    $16.6K

    20,000 shares

  5. @Vilgefortz
    No@ 83.0%·18h ago

    $14.9K

    18,000 shares

  6. Fearless-Misnomer
    No@ 83.0%·8h ago

    $10.6K

    12,749 shares

  7. @Bet1nthedark
    No@ 83.0%·17h ago

    $10.0K

    12,048 shares

  8. @adonpoli
    No@ 83.0%·1d ago

    $8.3K

    10,000 shares

  9. @Tigerofthehood
    No@ 83.0%·8h ago

    $8.3K

    10,000 shares

  10. @Tigerofthehood
    No@ 83.0%·2h ago

    $8.3K

    10,000 shares

  11. @scout
    No@ 83.0%·12h ago

    $8.0K

    9,594 shares

  12. @xm39
    Yes@ 17.0%·1d ago

    $7.0K

    41,346 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. 0x5449…992b
    No@ 83.0%·43m ago

    $1

  2. @Png19982026
    No@ 82.0%·43m ago

    $10

  3. @garbagefriends
    No@ 83.0%·54m ago

    $7

  4. @G9vQK5Gcyx
    No@ 82.0%·55m ago

    $0

  5. 0x5449…992b
    No@ 83.0%·55m ago

    $1

  6. 0xb6ce…895d
    No@ 83.0%·55m ago

    $4

  7. @lukacarste
    No@ 82.0%·55m ago

    $74

  8. @Adrbar
    No@ 83.0%·1h ago

    $10

  9. Villainous-Volatility
    No@ 83.0%·1h ago

    $85

  10. @Png19982026
    No@ 83.0%·1h ago

    $5

  11. 0xa5cb…6cb5
    Yes@ 17.0%·1h ago

    $0

  12. Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
    No@ 83.0%·1h ago

    $47

  13. @Tigerofthehood
    No@ 83.0%·2h ago

    $8.3K

  14. @betstaker
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $9

  15. @G9vQK5Gcyx
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $13

  16. 0x5449…992b
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $1

  17. @m3tuna
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $2

  18. 0xb6ce…895d
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $41

  19. @zstaxpl4fpb2
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $8

  20. 0x4da9…3f5d
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $5

  21. @5-testfollower-car
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $4

  22. Odd-Deformation
    No@ 82.0%·3h ago

    $2.0K

  23. @Drebleky
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $5

  24. Villainous-Volatility
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $168

  25. @betstaker
    No@ 83.0%·3h ago

    $7

About this market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Military Strikes category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 17.0% and NO at 83.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 12 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $24.6K on a total market volume of $59.16M. Last 24-hour volume: $137.9K.

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