What are the current odds for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 100.0%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Mar 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $59.82M. Last 24h: $372.5K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $69.9K by Qtyu entered at 100%. 2 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

← All Markets

ActiveKhameneiResolves Mar 31, 2026

¿La isla Kharg ya no está bajo control iraní por...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over…

YES

0.0%

100.0%

Volume

$59.82M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

2 tracked

1
@Qtyu
No@ 99.9%·15m ago
$69.9K
70,000 shares
2
@Alder
No@ 99.9%·20m ago
$17.0K
17,000 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@Qtyu
No@ 99.9%·15m ago
$69.9K
@Qtyu
No@ 99.9%·15m ago
$69.9K
@Alder
No@ 99.9%·20m ago
$17.0K
@Alder
No@ 99.9%·20m ago
$17.0K
@bloomfaner
Yes@ 0.2%·2h ago
$1
@Brodel
Yes@ 0.1%·2h ago
$0
@hanhanke
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$11
@Tanjiro.Kamado
Yes@ 0.1%·4h ago
$7
Perky-Compliment
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$88
Few-Grub
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$101
Vague-Wait
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$87
Standard-Trousers
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$116
Fluid-Alias
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$93
Whirlwind-Cheesecake
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$100
@HyperF1eld
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$52
@Nova1Fire
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$57
@saraswati11
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$41
@saraswati11
No@ 99.9%·5h ago
$41
@goodmanrebecca
No@ 99.9%·5h ago
$41
@cripes3
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$5.0K
@saundersdaniel
No@ 99.9%·6h ago
$301
@bradshawbradley
Yes@ 0.2%·6h ago
$1
Big-Miss
No@ 99.8%·7h ago
$86
@vsdfsdfew
No@ 99.9%·3d ago
$15
@KariSpice
No@ 99.9%·3d ago
$20

About this market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Khamenei category, resolving on Mar 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.0% and NO at 100.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 2 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $69.9K on a total market volume of $59.82M. Last 24-hour volume: $372.5K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →