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ActiveMacro GeopoliticsResolves Jun 30, 2026

¿El tráfico en el Estrecho de Ormuz volverá a la normalidad a finales de junio?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily tra…

YES

1.1%

NO

99.0%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

0 tracked

No stored big bets yet

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. @adasol
    Yes@ 1.0%·11m ago

    $8

  2. 0x0ab4…7d63
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  3. 0x2f86…93d7
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $8

  4. 0x1305…5c82
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  5. 0x7f78…657f
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $17

  6. 0x4d1e…e714
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $10

  7. 0xee6a…b75c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $2

  8. 0x5cca…507c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $6

  9. 0x90c0…b24b
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  10. 0x57b9…0464
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $6

  11. 0xf4be…9e96
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $2

  12. 0xe373…3c7b
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  13. 0xac74…2d47
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  14. 0x7670…3a40
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  15. 0xa7d5…8343
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  16. 0x3ff0…4a80
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  17. 0x4fa6…d6ff
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $5

  18. 0x0950…4ae0
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  19. 0x6fd4…0637
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  20. 0xb40b…9d26
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  21. 0x7618…e714
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $80

  22. 0xed7e…7bf3
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $30

  23. 0xad48…3c41
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $4

  24. 0x595f…5e6c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  25. @adonpoli
    No@ 98.9%·12m ago

    $1.1K

About this market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Macro Geopolitics category, resolving on Jun 30, 2026. Current odds put YES at 1.1% and NO at 99.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 0 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at no big bets yet on a total market volume of $38.70M. Last 24-hour volume: $741.2K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — 1.1% YES | PolyInsider