What are the current odds for "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 17.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 82.5%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Jan 1, 2028.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $1.17M. Last 24h: $3.1K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $9.4K by schizohedgehog entered at 97%. 1 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveTeslaResolves Jan 1, 2028

¿La fusión de Tesla y SpaceX anunciada oficialmente por...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or Space…

YES

17.5%

82.5%

Volume

$1.17M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

1
@schizohedgehog
No@ 96.9%·5d ago
$9.4K
9,678 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@jiangyp03
Yes@ 33.0%·10h ago
$6
@50testreward
Yes@ 33.0%·10h ago
$7
@prjjfb34
No@ 82.0%·12h ago
$26
Automatic-Lobster
No@ 82.6%·12h ago
$69
@prjjfb34
Yes@ 16.0%·16h ago
$5
@shgrkybo8
Yes@ 16.2%·16h ago
$37
@sweetj
Yes@ 17.0%·16h ago
$79
@cybermaxs
No@ 66.0%·17h ago
$2
@sweetj
Yes@ 17.0%·18h ago
$6
@kittycat67
Yes@ 17.0%·19h ago
$5
@COOLBOY
No@ 97.4%·20h ago
$39
@WarriorH
Yes@ 34.0%·20h ago
$22
@HosoTrader
Yes@ 33.0%·20h ago
$7
@rockscorpio
Yes@ 34.0%·20h ago
$10
@Elementarius
Yes@ 34.0%·20h ago
$20
@prjjfb34
No@ 60.0%·21h ago
$19
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 63.0%·21h ago
$212
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 62.0%·21h ago
$34
@rubby1337
Yes@ 38.0%·21h ago
$8
@monoclith
Yes@ 36.0%·21h ago
$18
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 60.0%·21h ago
$36
@prjjfb34
Yes@ 35.0%·21h ago
$7
@eatMaker
Yes@ 35.0%·21h ago
$7
@DerDon
No@ 60.3%·21h ago
$784
@joakja2008
Yes@ 17.0%·21h ago
$4

About this market

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Tesla category, resolving on Jan 1, 2028. Current odds put YES at 17.5% and NO at 82.5%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $9.4K on a total market volume of $1.17M. Last 24-hour volume: $3.1K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →