
¿China invadirá Taiwán a finales de 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…
YES
3.8%
NO
96.2%
Volume
$39.86M
Stored · 7 days
Largest trades
1 tracked
- 1@AnjunNo@ 96.0%·1d ago
$27.3K
28,426 shares
Recent · live
Latest market flow
19 prints
- 0x1bdb…978cNo@ 96.2%·49m ago
$1
- 0x507a…3aceNo@ 96.2%·49m ago
$1
- 0x1bdb…978cNo@ 96.1%·49m ago
$1
- 0x507a…3aceNo@ 96.1%·49m ago
$1
- @SILFNo@ 96.2%·49m ago
$43
- 0x507a…3aceNo@ 96.2%·1h ago
$1
- @sokishelNo@ 96.1%·1h ago
$21
- 0x1bdb…978cNo@ 96.2%·1h ago
$1
- @ChandariaYes@ 3.9%·1h ago
$121
- 0x9a21…1f02No@ 96.1%·1h ago
$27
- @nald25Yes@ 3.8%·2h ago
$4
- @dotano1No@ 96.2%·2h ago
$481
- @SnttYes@ 3.8%·3h ago
$0
- 0x1664…c71cNo@ 96.1%·3h ago
$0
- @Tomas7777No@ 96.2%·3h ago
$192
- 0x1664…c71cNo@ 96.1%·3h ago
$193
- 0x1664…c71cNo@ 96.2%·3h ago
$194
- Careful-BunchYes@ 3.8%·4h ago
$76
- Careful-BunchYes@ 3.9%·4h ago
$78
About this market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Politics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 3.8% and NO at 96.2%.
PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $27.3K on a total market volume of $39.86M. Last 24-hour volume: $13.6K.
Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →
