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ActiveForeign PolicyResolves Dec 31, 2026

¿China invadirá Taiwán a finales de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…

YES

5.8%

NO

94.2%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

  1. @wangweibtc
    No@ 94.4%·3h ago

    $8.0K

    8,500 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. 0xd390…89ae
    No@ 94.2%·8m ago

    $7

  2. 0xd390…89ae
    No@ 94.3%·8m ago

    $7

  3. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.2%·10m ago

    $5

  4. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.3%·10m ago

    $5

  5. 0x408c…5eff
    No@ 94.2%·10m ago

    $5

  6. 0x408c…5eff
    No@ 94.3%·10m ago

    $5

  7. 0xcb82…8935
    No@ 94.2%·11m ago

    $5

  8. 0xcb82…8935
    No@ 94.3%·11m ago

    $5

  9. 0xca84…27f4
    No@ 94.2%·11m ago

    $6

  10. 0xca84…27f4
    No@ 94.3%·12m ago

    $6

  11. 0xc03d…ca87
    No@ 94.2%·13m ago

    $5

  12. 0xc03d…ca87
    No@ 94.3%·13m ago

    $5

  13. @SigmaAgent1687
    No@ 94.2%·15m ago

    $47

  14. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.2%·17m ago

    $5

  15. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.3%·17m ago

    $5

  16. 0xd390…89ae
    No@ 94.2%·17m ago

    $7

  17. 0xd390…89ae
    No@ 94.3%·17m ago

    $7

  18. 0xa920…07a4
    No@ 94.2%·19m ago

    $5

  19. 0x1b73…cbb4
    No@ 94.2%·19m ago

    $5

  20. 0xa920…07a4
    No@ 94.3%·19m ago

    $5

  21. 0x1b73…cbb4
    No@ 94.3%·19m ago

    $5

  22. 0x5f42…e101
    No@ 94.2%·20m ago

    $5

  23. 0x5f42…e101
    No@ 94.3%·20m ago

    $5

  24. 0xe29f…e326
    No@ 94.2%·20m ago

    $8

  25. 0xe29f…e326
    No@ 94.3%·20m ago

    $8

About this market

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Foreign Policy category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 5.8% and NO at 94.2%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $8.0K on a total market volume of $37.11M. Last 24-hour volume: $86.5K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — 5.8% YES | PolyInsider