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ActiveGeopoliticsResolves Dec 31, 2026

¿Estados Unidos invadirá Irán antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled …

YES

15.0%

NO

85.0%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

3 tracked

  1. @BlindGibbon
    No@ 88.0%·2d ago

    $35.2K

    40,000 shares

  2. @BlindGibbon
    No@ 88.0%·2d ago

    $17.6K

    20,000 shares

  3. @QWETR12345
    No@ 87.1%·2d ago

    $13.0K

    14,930 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

20 prints

  1. @Dondigidin
    No@ 85.0%·1h ago

    $425

  2. @crypotec
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $1

  3. @crypotec
    Yes@ 15.0%·2h ago

    $2

  4. @Mr.orb
    Yes@ 14.0%·3h ago

    $6

  5. $1

  6. $1

  7. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·4h ago

    $10

  8. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·4h ago

    $10

  9. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·4h ago

    $2

  10. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·4h ago

    $2

  11. Harmless-Grenade
    Yes@ 15.0%·4h ago

    $5

  12. @Magzresistance
    Yes@ 15.0%·4h ago

    $100

  13. Humiliating-Junket
    No@ 85.0%·4h ago

    $1

  14. @tlchris
    Yes@ 14.0%·4h ago

    $12

  15. @minion.3m
    Yes@ 15.0%·5h ago

    $1

  16. @minion.3m
    Yes@ 15.0%·5h ago

    $1

  17. @crypotec
    Yes@ 14.0%·5h ago

    $1

  18. @crypotec
    Yes@ 15.0%·5h ago

    $2

  19. @nunu7
    No@ 85.0%·6h ago

    $85

  20. @BigRabbit
    Yes@ 15.0%·6h ago

    $1.5K

About this market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Geopolitics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 15.0% and NO at 85.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 3 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $35.2K on a total market volume of $38.91M. Last 24-hour volume: $40.8K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 15.0% YES | PolyInsider