What are the current odds for "Iran leadership change by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 4.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 95.5%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $23.74M. Last 24h: $31.5K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $8.0K by agggr entered at 85%. 1 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActivePoliticsResolves Dec 31, 2026

イラン指導部交代までに…？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longe…

YES

4.5%

95.5%

Volume

$23.74M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

1
@agggr
No@ 85.0%·6h ago
$8.0K
9,366 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@hornetfan
Yes@ 0.1%·14m ago
$0
0x84d4…77a9
No@ 75.0%·1h ago
$0
0x258b…db84
Yes@ 24.0%·1h ago
$1
@Pantheon1
No@ 99.1%·1h ago
$119
@autisem
No@ 95.0%·2h ago
$2.0K
@Elias.Thornwell
No@ 75.0%·2h ago
$7
@Robbb
No@ 99.2%·2h ago
$701
@tbiyhj
No@ 99.4%·5h ago
$155
@AiBird
Yes@ 0.6%·5h ago
$12
@argus-br
No@ 96.0%·6h ago
$5
@argus-br
No@ 96.0%·6h ago
$3
@Jjw
No@ 96.0%·6h ago
$180
@orph3lia
No@ 95.0%·9h ago
$29
@888880000
No@ 99.8%·9h ago
$28
@51655
No@ 96.0%·11h ago
$82
@Greed.
No@ 99.3%·11h ago
$62
@UDK
No@ 95.0%·11h ago
$190
@enrico-vasaio
No@ 99.3%·12h ago
$204
@gaelo
No@ 99.9%·12h ago
$30
@l5wrGYrLGv
No@ 75.0%·12h ago
$1
0x84d4…77a9
No@ 75.0%·12h ago
$29
@Gluckyklucky
Yes@ 24.0%·12h ago
$48
@l5wrGYrLGv
No@ 75.0%·12h ago
$0
0x84d4…77a9
No@ 75.0%·12h ago
$7
@lolzzzlol
Yes@ 24.0%·12h ago
$48

About this market

Iran leadership change by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Politics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 4.5% and NO at 95.5%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $8.0K on a total market volume of $23.74M. Last 24-hour volume: $31.5K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →