中国は2026年末までに台湾を侵略するでしょうか?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…
YES
5.7%
NO
94.3%
Volume
$37.11M
Stored · 7 days
Largest trades
1 tracked
- 1@wangweibtcNo@ 94.4%·3h ago
$8.0K
8,500 shares
Recent · live
Latest market flow
25 prints
- 0x408c…5effNo@ 94.3%·37s ago
$5
- @hai898711Yes@ 5.8%·53s ago
$6
- @UltraHunter8958No@ 94.2%·2m ago
$55
- 0xe3ef…960bNo@ 94.2%·2m ago
$5
- 0xe3ef…960bNo@ 94.3%·2m ago
$5
- 0x7b52…06a1No@ 94.2%·4m ago
$5
- 0x7b52…06a1No@ 94.3%·4m ago
$5
- 0xe29f…e326No@ 94.2%·5m ago
$8
- 0xa920…07a4No@ 94.2%·5m ago
$5
- 0xe29f…e326No@ 94.3%·5m ago
$8
- 0xa920…07a4No@ 94.3%·5m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.2%·6m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.3%·6m ago
$5
- 0xd390…89aeNo@ 94.2%·9m ago
$7
- 0xd390…89aeNo@ 94.3%·9m ago
$7
- 0x3304…906aNo@ 94.2%·10m ago
$5
- 0x3304…906aNo@ 94.3%·11m ago
$5
- 0x408c…5effNo@ 94.2%·11m ago
$5
- 0x408c…5effNo@ 94.3%·11m ago
$5
- 0xcb82…8935No@ 94.2%·11m ago
$5
- 0xcb82…8935No@ 94.3%·11m ago
$5
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.2%·12m ago
$6
- 0xca84…27f4No@ 94.3%·12m ago
$6
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.2%·14m ago
$5
- 0xc03d…ca87No@ 94.3%·14m ago
$5
About this market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Foreign Policy category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 5.7% and NO at 94.3%.
PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $8.0K on a total market volume of $37.11M. Last 24-hour volume: $86.6K.
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