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ActiveForeign PolicyResolves Dec 31, 2026

中国は2026年末までに台湾を侵略するでしょうか?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…

YES

5.8%

NO

94.2%

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

  1. @wangweibtc
    No@ 94.4%·2h ago

    $8.0K

    8,500 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

15 prints

  1. 0x408c…5eff
    No@ 94.2%·58s ago

    $5

  2. 0x408c…5eff
    No@ 94.3%·1m ago

    $5

  3. @fhkb
    No@ 94.3%·1m ago

    $794

  4. 0x1bbb…8177
    No@ 94.2%·1m ago

    $5

  5. 0x1bbb…8177
    No@ 94.3%·1m ago

    $5

  6. 0xe29f…e326
    No@ 94.2%·2m ago

    $8

  7. @UltraHunter8958
    No@ 94.3%·2m ago

    $55

  8. 0xe29f…e326
    No@ 94.3%·2m ago

    $8

  9. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.2%·5m ago

    $5

  10. 0x3304…906a
    No@ 94.3%·5m ago

    $5

  11. @easfwqw
    No@ 94.3%·7m ago

    $1

  12. 0x1b73…cbb4
    No@ 94.2%·7m ago

    $5

  13. 0x1b73…cbb4
    No@ 94.3%·7m ago

    $5

  14. 0x1bbb…8177
    No@ 94.2%·7m ago

    $5

  15. 0x1bbb…8177
    No@ 94.3%·8m ago

    $5

About this market

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Foreign Policy category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 5.8% and NO at 94.2%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $8.0K on a total market volume of $37.10M. Last 24-hour volume: $84.5K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →