米国は2027年までにイランに侵攻するだろうか？
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled …
YES
15.0%
NO
85.0%
Volume
$38.91M
Stored · 7 days
Largest trades
3 tracked
- 1@BlindGibbonNo@ 88.0%·2d ago
$35.2K
40,000 shares
- 2@BlindGibbonNo@ 88.0%·2d ago
$17.6K
20,000 shares
- 3@QWETR12345No@ 87.1%·2d ago
$13.0K
14,930 shares
Recent · live
Latest market flow
20 prints
- @DondigidinNo@ 85.0%·1h ago
$425
- @crypotecYes@ 14.0%·2h ago
$1
- @crypotecYes@ 15.0%·2h ago
$2
- @Mr.orbYes@ 14.0%·3h ago
$6
- Remarkable-Fledgling-LeptocephalusYes@ 15.0%·3h ago
$1
- Remarkable-Fledgling-LeptocephalusYes@ 15.0%·3h ago
$1
- 0x531b…da26No@ 85.0%·4h ago
$10
- 0x531b…da26No@ 86.0%·4h ago
$10
- 0x531b…da26No@ 85.0%·4h ago
$2
- 0x531b…da26No@ 86.0%·4h ago
$2
- Harmless-GrenadeYes@ 15.0%·4h ago
$5
- @MagzresistanceYes@ 15.0%·4h ago
$100
- Humiliating-JunketNo@ 85.0%·4h ago
$1
- @tlchrisYes@ 14.0%·4h ago
$12
- @minion.3mYes@ 15.0%·5h ago
$1
- @minion.3mYes@ 15.0%·5h ago
$1
- @crypotecYes@ 14.0%·5h ago
$1
- @crypotecYes@ 15.0%·5h ago
$2
- @nunu7No@ 85.0%·6h ago
$85
- @BigRabbitYes@ 15.0%·6h ago
$1.5K
About this market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Geopolitics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 15.0% and NO at 85.0%.
PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 3 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $35.2K on a total market volume of $38.91M. Last 24-hour volume: $40.8K.
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