What are the current odds for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 100.0%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Mar 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $59.74M. Last 24h: $306.3K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $84.6K by elmcap2 entered at 100%. 40 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveKhameneiResolves Mar 31, 2026

哈格岛不再受伊朗控制……？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over…

YES

0.0%

100.0%

Volume

$59.74M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

40 tracked

1
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$84.6K
84,812 shares
2
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$52.8K
52,932 shares
3
@elmcap2
No@ 99.6%·3d ago
$52.4K
52,598 shares
4
@Alder
No@ 99.6%·3d ago
$49.8K
50,000 shares
5
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$29.6K
29,689 shares
6
@stupid22
No@ 98.0%·3d ago
$26.4K
26,989 shares
7
@Valen9
No@ 99.6%·2d ago
$25.1K
25,177 shares
8
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·15h ago
$24.0K
24,000 shares
9
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·15h ago
$21.2K
21,292 shares
10
@JamesBonder007
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$19.6K
19,642 shares
11
Bite-Sized-Princess
No@ 99.8%·23h ago
$19.0K
19,000 shares
12
Bite-Sized-Princess
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$15.9K
15,903 shares
13
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$14.7K
14,695 shares
14
@MisTKy3
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$14.0K
14,000 shares
15
@stupid22
No@ 97.9%·4d ago
$11.2K
11,424 shares
16
0xe665…7D42
No@ 95.9%·10h ago
$11.0K
11,456 shares
17
@b4k9xj2wh
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$10.3K
10,289 shares
18
@Eatpraylove
No@ 99.9%·9h ago
$10.0K
10,000 shares
19
@elmcap2
No@ 99.5%·3d ago
$9.9K
10,000 shares
20
@Valen9
No@ 98.3%·2d ago
$9.6K
9,798 shares
21
@bosshog
No@ 99.5%·3d ago
$9.0K
9,031 shares
22
@RiotValorant
No@ 99.6%·2d ago
$8.7K
8,717 shares
23
@stupid22
No@ 97.9%·3d ago
$8.4K
8,576 shares
24
@RizzEmWithTheTism
No@ 98.3%·3d ago
$8.1K
8,200 shares
25
@anoin123
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$7.8K
7,777 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@bloomfaner
Yes@ 0.2%·26m ago
$1
@Brodel
Yes@ 0.1%·30m ago
$0
@hanhanke
No@ 99.9%·1h ago
$11
@Tanjiro.Kamado
Yes@ 0.1%·1h ago
$7
Perky-Compliment
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$88
Few-Grub
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$101
Vague-Wait
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$87
Standard-Trousers
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$116
Fluid-Alias
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$93
Whirlwind-Cheesecake
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$100
@HyperF1eld
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$52
@Nova1Fire
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$57
@saraswati11
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$41
@saraswati11
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$41
@goodmanrebecca
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$41
@cripes3
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$5.0K
@saundersdaniel
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$301
@bradshawbradley
Yes@ 0.2%·4h ago
$1
Big-Miss
No@ 99.8%·4h ago
$86
Repulsive-Close
No@ 99.8%·4h ago
$116
Clear-Painting
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$271
@CosmooKramer
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$299
@bfphfceo
No@ 99.8%·5h ago
$55
@mqwdctmx
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$52
@otq1l4duh3cn
No@ 99.8%·6h ago
$54

About this market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Khamenei category, resolving on Mar 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.0% and NO at 100.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 40 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $84.6K on a total market volume of $59.74M. Last 24-hour volume: $306.3K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →