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ActiveMacro GeopoliticsResolves Jun 30, 2026

霍尔木兹海峡交通六月底恢复正常？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily tra…

YES

1.0%

NO

99.0%

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

50 tracked

  1. @hymolu
    No@ 96.5%·2d ago

    $122.7K

    127,114 shares

  2. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $85.5K

    90,000 shares

  3. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $73.1K

    74,910 shares

  4. @Trump2028
    No@ 98.7%·5h ago

    $68.9K

    69,827 shares

  5. @aenews2
    No@ 95.1%·2d ago

    $64.1K

    67,465 shares

  6. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $38.0K

    40,000 shares

  7. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·2d ago

    $38.0K

    40,000 shares

  8. @aenews2
    No@ 94.1%·1d ago

    $35.5K

    37,732 shares

  9. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 97.7%·15h ago

    $35.0K

    35,780 shares

  10. @MoonLambo1205
    No@ 96.3%·3d ago

    $29.7K

    30,803 shares

  11. 0x3670…34F9
    No@ 97.8%·4d ago

    $29.3K

    30,000 shares

  12. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $28.5K

    29,975 shares

  13. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $27.3K

    28,741 shares

  14. @Qtyu
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $22.7K

    23,240 shares

  15. @SlenderMan
    No@ 97.5%·3d ago

    $21.4K

    22,000 shares

  16. @pizdamba
    No@ 89.2%·2d ago

    $20.1K

    22,500 shares

  17. @HowToBasic
    No@ 93.1%·2d ago

    $20.0K

    21,492 shares

  18. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 95.9%·3d ago

    $19.2K

    20,000 shares

  19. @timmythewhale
    No@ 93.0%·2d ago

    $18.6K

    20,000 shares

  20. 0x3670…34F9
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $18.6K

    19,000 shares

  21. @Tigerofthehood
    No@ 90.0%·2d ago

    $18.0K

    20,000 shares

  22. Skinny-Class
    No@ 91.0%·2d ago

    $16.4K

    18,000 shares

  23. Skinny-Class
    No@ 90.8%·2d ago

    $16.3K

    18,000 shares

  24. @aenews2
    No@ 94.7%·1d ago

    $16.1K

    17,012 shares

  25. @VivaMoldova
    No@ 96.9%·17h ago

    $15.2K

    15,669 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. @adasol
    Yes@ 1.0%·11m ago

    $8

  2. 0x0ab4…7d63
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  3. 0x2f86…93d7
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $8

  4. 0x1305…5c82
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  5. 0x7f78…657f
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $17

  6. 0x4d1e…e714
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $10

  7. 0xee6a…b75c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $2

  8. 0x5cca…507c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $6

  9. 0x90c0…b24b
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  10. 0x57b9…0464
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $6

  11. 0xf4be…9e96
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $2

  12. 0xe373…3c7b
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  13. 0xac74…2d47
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  14. 0x7670…3a40
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  15. 0xa7d5…8343
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  16. 0x3ff0…4a80
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $3

  17. 0x4fa6…d6ff
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $5

  18. 0x0950…4ae0
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  19. 0x6fd4…0637
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  20. 0xb40b…9d26
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  21. 0x7618…e714
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $80

  22. 0xed7e…7bf3
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $30

  23. 0xad48…3c41
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $4

  24. 0x595f…5e6c
    No@ 99.0%·12m ago

    $1

  25. @adonpoli
    No@ 98.9%·12m ago

    $1.1K

About this market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Macro Geopolitics category, resolving on Jun 30, 2026. Current odds put YES at 1.0% and NO at 99.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 50 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $122.7K on a total market volume of $38.70M. Last 24-hour volume: $741.2K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — 1.0% YES | PolyInsider