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ActivePoliticsResolves Dec 31, 2026

中国会在2026年底入侵台湾吗?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Re…

YES

3.8%

NO

96.2%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

  1. @Anjun
    No@ 96.0%·1d ago

    $27.3K

    28,426 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

19 prints

  1. 0x1bdb…978c
    No@ 96.2%·50m ago

    $1

  2. 0x507a…3ace
    No@ 96.2%·50m ago

    $1

  3. 0x1bdb…978c
    No@ 96.1%·50m ago

    $1

  4. 0x507a…3ace
    No@ 96.1%·50m ago

    $1

  5. @SILF
    No@ 96.2%·50m ago

    $43

  6. 0x507a…3ace
    No@ 96.2%·1h ago

    $1

  7. @sokishel
    No@ 96.1%·1h ago

    $21

  8. 0x1bdb…978c
    No@ 96.2%·1h ago

    $1

  9. @Chandaria
    Yes@ 3.9%·1h ago

    $121

  10. 0x9a21…1f02
    No@ 96.1%·1h ago

    $27

  11. @nald25
    Yes@ 3.8%·2h ago

    $4

  12. @dotano1
    No@ 96.2%·2h ago

    $481

  13. @Sntt
    Yes@ 3.8%·3h ago

    $0

  14. 0x1664…c71c
    No@ 96.1%·3h ago

    $0

  15. @Tomas7777
    No@ 96.2%·3h ago

    $192

  16. 0x1664…c71c
    No@ 96.1%·3h ago

    $193

  17. 0x1664…c71c
    No@ 96.2%·3h ago

    $194

  18. Careful-Bunch
    Yes@ 3.8%·4h ago

    $76

  19. Careful-Bunch
    Yes@ 3.9%·4h ago

    $78

About this market

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Politics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 3.8% and NO at 96.2%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $27.3K on a total market volume of $39.86M. Last 24-hour volume: $13.6K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — 3.8% YES | PolyInsider