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ActiveGeopoliticsResolves Dec 31, 2026

美国会在2027年之前入侵伊朗吗?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled …

YES

14.0%

NO

86.0%

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Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

0 tracked

No stored big bets yet

Recent · live

Latest market flow

23 prints

  1. @PolyPlayerMADMAN
    Yes@ 14.0%·38m ago

    $350

  2. @goodygoody
    No@ 86.0%·44m ago

    $120

  3. @ZenBear
    Yes@ 15.0%·1h ago

    $105

  4. @GamerBolo
    Yes@ 15.0%·1h ago

    $1

  5. @sagar49cby
    Yes@ 15.0%·1h ago

    $8

  6. 0x0c9b…943e
    No@ 85.0%·2h ago

    $1

  7. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $2

  8. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·2h ago

    $3

  9. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·3h ago

    $3

  10. Grimy-Entirety-Museum
    Yes@ 14.0%·3h ago

    $3

  11. 0xb20b…d46e
    Yes@ 15.0%·3h ago

    $4

  12. @Brahman19
    Yes@ 14.0%·4h ago

    $4

  13. @Dondigidin
    No@ 85.0%·4h ago

    $425

  14. @crypotec
    Yes@ 14.0%·5h ago

    $1

  15. @crypotec
    Yes@ 15.0%·5h ago

    $2

  16. @Mr.orb
    Yes@ 14.0%·6h ago

    $6

  17. $1

  18. $1

  19. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·7h ago

    $10

  20. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·7h ago

    $10

  21. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 85.0%·7h ago

    $2

  22. 0x531b…da26
    No@ 86.0%·7h ago

    $2

  23. Harmless-Grenade
    Yes@ 15.0%·7h ago

    $5

About this market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Geopolitics category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 14.0% and NO at 86.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 0 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at no big bets yet on a total market volume of $38.91M. Last 24-hour volume: $43.9K.

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 14.0% YES | PolyInsider