What are the current odds for "Iran leader end of 2026?"?

YES is currently trading at 1.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 98.6%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $16.94M. Last 24h: $52.0K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $9.7K by ALONE36 entered at 100%. 12 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

← All Markets

ActiveMiddle EastResolves Dec 31, 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary gover…

YES

1.5%

98.6%

Volume

$16.94M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

12 tracked

1
@ALONE36
No@ 99.5%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,745 shares
2
@ALONE36
No@ 99.4%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,750 shares
3
@ALONE36
No@ 99.6%·3d ago
$9.7K
9,728 shares
4
@ALONE36
No@ 98.7%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,810 shares
5
@ALONE36
No@ 97.3%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,950 shares
6
@ALONE36
No@ 96.8%·3d ago
$9.7K
9,999 shares
7
@ALONE36
No@ 98.7%·3d ago
$9.7K
9,800 shares
8
@ALONE36
No@ 99.5%·3d ago
$9.7K
9,720 shares
9
@ALONE36
No@ 98.7%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,790 shares
10
@ALONE36
No@ 99.6%·2d ago
$9.7K
9,700 shares
11
@BlindGibbon
Yes@ 83.9%·2d ago
$9.1K
10,890 shares
12
@BlindGibbon
Yes@ 84.0%·2d ago
$7.6K
9,104 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@EasyGoingA
No@ 16.2%·7h ago
$2
@adrenvl22
Yes@ 0.3%·7h ago
$1
@adrenvl22
Yes@ 0.3%·7h ago
$1
@whisperiagleesnazberry
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$10
0x4fac…219c
No@ 98.6%·7h ago
$1
@adrenvl22
Yes@ 1.5%·7h ago
$2
@KyleBradfordlfg
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$3
@zhangxingxing
No@ 16.1%·7h ago
$8
@spectrumarcane
Yes@ 0.2%·7h ago
$0
@Rafael88
Yes@ 83.9%·7h ago
$65
@EclipticHowly
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$7
@spectrumarcane
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$134
@whisperiagleesnazberry
No@ 99.8%·7h ago
$10
@EclipticHowly
No@ 99.8%·7h ago
$7
@KyleBradfordlfg
No@ 99.8%·7h ago
$3
@Dictanumquamlo
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$4
0x1b73…cbb4
Yes@ 83.8%·7h ago
$5
0x1b73…cbb4
Yes@ 83.9%·7h ago
$5
@autteneturer
No@ 99.7%·7h ago
$5
@gobsmackVeloria
No@ 99.7%·8h ago
$5
@obsidianzosnugglebugfo
No@ 99.7%·8h ago
$2
@Hailey860
No@ 99.7%·8h ago
$10
@Beckettceufeatheredfa
No@ 99.7%·8h ago
$4
@Hailey860
No@ 99.8%·8h ago
$10
@BlizzyCadenui
No@ 99.8%·8h ago
$2

About this market

Iran leader end of 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Middle East category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 1.5% and NO at 98.6%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 12 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $9.7K on a total market volume of $16.94M. Last 24-hour volume: $52.0K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →