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ActiveMacro GeopoliticsResolves Jun 30, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily tra…

YES

1.2%

NO

98.8%

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

50 tracked

  1. @hymolu
    No@ 96.5%·2d ago

    $122.7K

    127,114 shares

  2. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $85.5K

    90,000 shares

  3. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $73.1K

    74,910 shares

  4. @Trump2028
    No@ 98.7%·4h ago

    $68.9K

    69,827 shares

  5. @aenews2
    No@ 95.1%·2d ago

    $64.1K

    67,465 shares

  6. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $38.0K

    40,000 shares

  7. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·2d ago

    $38.0K

    40,000 shares

  8. @aenews2
    No@ 94.1%·1d ago

    $35.5K

    37,732 shares

  9. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 97.7%·13h ago

    $35.0K

    35,780 shares

  10. @MoonLambo1205
    No@ 96.3%·3d ago

    $29.7K

    30,803 shares

  11. 0x3670…34F9
    No@ 97.8%·4d ago

    $29.3K

    30,000 shares

  12. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $28.5K

    29,975 shares

  13. @DonaldinhoTrumpito
    No@ 95.0%·3d ago

    $27.3K

    28,741 shares

  14. @Qtyu
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $22.7K

    23,240 shares

  15. @SlenderMan
    No@ 97.5%·3d ago

    $21.4K

    22,000 shares

  16. @pizdamba
    No@ 89.2%·2d ago

    $20.1K

    22,500 shares

  17. @HowToBasic
    No@ 93.1%·2d ago

    $20.0K

    21,492 shares

  18. @ArmageddonRewardsBilly
    No@ 95.9%·3d ago

    $19.2K

    20,000 shares

  19. @timmythewhale
    No@ 93.0%·2d ago

    $18.6K

    20,000 shares

  20. 0x3670…34F9
    No@ 97.7%·4d ago

    $18.6K

    19,000 shares

  21. @Tigerofthehood
    No@ 90.0%·2d ago

    $18.0K

    20,000 shares

  22. Skinny-Class
    No@ 91.0%·2d ago

    $16.4K

    18,000 shares

  23. Skinny-Class
    No@ 90.8%·2d ago

    $16.3K

    18,000 shares

  24. @aenews2
    No@ 94.7%·1d ago

    $16.1K

    17,012 shares

  25. @VivaMoldova
    No@ 96.9%·15h ago

    $15.2K

    15,669 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

19 prints

  1. 0x2a5b…b78b
    No@ 98.9%·1h ago

    $1

  2. 0x572c…4360
    No@ 98.9%·1h ago

    $0

  3. 0x108d…68db
    No@ 98.9%·1h ago

    $0

  4. @cripwalk
    Yes@ 1.0%·1h ago

    $29

  5. @HIJOSDELARUINA
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $198

  6. 0xfb48…17d7
    No@ 98.9%·1h ago

    $5

  7. Alarming-Leg
    Yes@ 1.0%·1h ago

    $0

  8. Dead-Award
    Yes@ 1.0%·1h ago

    $0

  9. @hosoon123
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $990

  10. Considerate-Peacoat
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $5

  11. @pav500
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $14

  12. @pav500
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $15

  13. @pav500
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $15

  14. @pav500
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $16

  15. @pav500
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $16

  16. @andy-trading-bot1
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $5

  17. 0x1e02…7a8e
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $2

  18. Impractical-Accord
    No@ 99.0%·1h ago

    $1

  19. @hobo69
    No@ 98.6%·1h ago

    $9.9K

About this market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Macro Geopolitics category, resolving on Jun 30, 2026. Current odds put YES at 1.2% and NO at 98.8%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 50 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $122.7K on a total market volume of $38.66M. Last 24-hour volume: $778.6K.

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