BBC
Shadow chancellor to unveil Tory plans to cut taxes and regulations
Shadow ministers will unveil a series of policies on day two of the Conservative Party conference in Birmingham.
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CoinDeskFeatured story
U.S. dollar climbs to 18-month high as bitcoin holds firm around $86,000
A stronger dollar and rising bond yields are testing bitcoin’s resilience as fiscal concerns in France and political uncertainty in Spain weigh on the euro.
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Polymarket
month · bitcoinBitcoin best month in 2026?Current probabilityOctoberYes6%AugustYes87%NovemberYes5%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Melhor match$81 24h volumemonth · united states of americaWill a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month?Current probabilityYes51%Mercado relacionadounited states of america · bitcoinUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Current probabilityYes5%Mercado relacionado$52 24h volume
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CoinDesk
Live updates: Bitcoin above $86,000 as traders price out an October Fed hike
A weak September jobs report took a rate hike off the table, but bitcoin is still stuck below $87,000, with FOMC minutes due Wednesday.
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federal reserve · hikeWill 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Current probabilityYes26%Mercado relacionado$10K 24h volumefederal reserve · hikeWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Current probabilityYes11%Mercado relacionado$134 24h volumefederal reserve · hikeWill the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Current probabilityYes4%Mercado relacionado$130 24h volume
BBC
US removes all bombers from RAF Fairford base
No reason has been given for the withdrawal, but it follows a major incident last week when police were alerted to "suspicious vehicles" near the airbase.
Decrypt
OKX and NYSE Owner ICE Plan 24/7 Tokenized Stock Trading Under SEC Exemption
Filed under the SEC's new Innovation Exemption, the notice lists more than 60 stocks, including Nvidia and SpaceX, paired with stablecoins.
Mercados ligados3
nyse · tokenizedWhat chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?Current probabilityEthereumYes37%SolanaYes30%BaseYes43%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Melhor match$4K Total volumetokenized · stocksFirst to list tokenized stocks in the US?Current probabilityRobinhoodYes47%KrakenYes42%CoinbaseYes3%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$2K 24h volumetokenized · stocksTokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?Current probabilityOctober 31, 2026Yes7%December 31, 2026Yes27%March 31, 2027Yes71%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$458 24h volume
BBC
Trump chooses top spy boss to run new AI taskforce
The US president said his national intelligence chief will lead the group as worries over AI grow.
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run · donald trumpWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Current probabilityYes5%Melhor match$7K 24h volumerun · donald trumpWill Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Current probabilityYes4%Mercado relacionado$12K Total volumedonald trump · united states of americaWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Current probabilityYes1%Mercado relacionado$335K 24h volume
BBC
Average five-year mortgage rate hits 6% for first time in three years
The cost of a new fixed-rate mortgage has been rising in recent weeks as lenders face higher costs.
CoinDesk
Kraken operator Payward and Singapore Gulf Bank platform for 24/7 institutional crypto settlement
The two firms will initially roll out the digital assets settlement service to select institutional clients in Asia and the Gulf region with around-the-clock U.S. dollar settlement.
Mercados ligados3
bank · united states of americaUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?Current probabilityYes48%Melhor match$236 24h volumebank · united states of americaMajor U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Current probabilityYes5%Mercado relacionado$4K Total volumebank · united states of americaWill US Bank fail by end of 2026?Current probabilityYes3%Mercado relacionado$467 24h volume
BBC
Connor out, Lewis in as England name World Cup squad
Leeds Rhinos half-back Jake Connor is left out of England's Rugby League World Cup squad, with Hull KR's Mikey Lewis beating him to a place.
Mercados ligados3
fifa world cup · englandWill England win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?Current probabilityYes14%Melhor match$21 Total volumefifa world cupCricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAECurrent probabilityUSA69%UAE32%Mercado relacionado$878 24h volumefifa world cupCricket World Cup League 2: USA vs NamibiaCurrent probabilityUSA73%Namibia28%Mercado relacionado
BBC
All the goals from the Women's Super League - matchweek five
Watch every goal from matchweek five of the Women's Super League 2026-27 season.
Mercados ligados3
superSüper Lig: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference LeagueCurrent probabilityGalatasarayYes50%FenerbahçeYes50%TrabzonsporYes50%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionadowomenUEFA Women's Champions League 2026-27 WinnerCurrent probabilityOL LyonnesYes18%BarcelonaYes60%Paris Saint-GermainYes5%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$2K 24h volumesuperSüper Lig: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa LeagueCurrent probabilityGalatasarayYes50%FenerbahçeYes50%TrabzonsporYes50%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado
CoinDesk
Bitcoin is about to get a major bullish signal it hasn't had in over a year
Key price averages are on the verge of confirming a major bullish configuration for the first time in over a year.
Mercados ligados2
bitcoinBitcoin price on October 5?Current probability<74,000Yes<1%90,000-92,000Yes<1%82,000-84,000Yes1%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$78K 24h volumebitcoinWhat price will ETH/BTC hit October 5-11?Current probability↑ 0.0345Yes50%↑ 0.0335Yes50%↑ 0.0325Yes50%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado
CoinDesk
Ethereum investors are stuck in a two-week staking exit line. Here's why.
Ether waiting to enter staking has fallen by more than a quarter since early September, while the exit queue hit its longest of 2026.
Mercados ligados3
ethereumWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?Current probability$1,00018%$3,00082%Mercado relacionado$111K Total volumeethereumWhat price will ETH/BTC hit October 5-11?Current probability↑ 0.0345Yes50%↑ 0.0335Yes50%↑ 0.0325Yes50%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionadoethereumWill CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027?Current probabilityYes12%Mercado relacionado$16K Total volume
BBC
Polanski banned from Israel after party's motion declaring 'Zionism is racism'
The vote has caused divisions among figures at the top of the party at its conference in Brighton.
BBC
Supporters of jailed ex-PM Imran Khan begin march in Pakistan
Thousands have taken to the streets after talks between authorities and Khan's party ended in deadlock.
BBC
Watch: How Brazil's dramatic election unfolded
Millions of Brazilians took to the polls on Sunday for the first round of the country's presidential elections.
Mercados ligados3
brazil · roundBrazil Presidential Election First Round: TurnoutCurrent probability78-80%Yes99%<76%Yes<1%82%+Yes<1%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Melhor match$8K 24h volumebrazil · roundBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in AmapáCurrent probabilityLulaYes95%Flavio BolsonaroYes1%Clariana BaraoYes<1%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$45K 24h volumebrazil · roundBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in AmazonasCurrent probabilityLulaYes>99%Flavio BolsonaroYes<1%Clariana BaraoYes<1%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$8K 24h volume
CoinDesk
Joint venture of OKX and NYSE parent ICE files for 24/7 tokenized U.S. stock trading
OKXICE, the joint venture of OKX and ICE, plans to launch tokenized U.S. stocks under SEC's new innovation exemption.
Mercados ligados3
joint · venture · united states of americaWill the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?Current probabilityYes4%Mercado relacionado$193 24h volumetokenized · stocks · united states of americaFirst to list tokenized stocks in the US?Current probabilityRobinhoodYes47%KrakenYes42%CoinbaseYes3%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$2K 24h volumenyse · tokenizedWhat chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?Current probabilityEthereumYes37%SolanaYes30%BaseYes43%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$4K Total volume
CoinDesk
Bitcoin zooms toward $87,000, nearly setting an eight-month high, then reverses
Bitcoin came within about $500 of its late-September peak before sellers pushed it back under $86,000. It's the second rally in a week to stall.
Mercados ligados3
month · bitcoinBitcoin best month in 2026?Current probabilityOctoberYes6%AugustYes87%NovemberYes5%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Melhor match$81 24h volumebitcoinBitcoin price on October 5?Current probability<74,000Yes<1%90,000-92,000Yes<1%82,000-84,000Yes1%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$78K 24h volumebitcoinWhat price will ETH/BTC hit October 5-11?Current probability↑ 0.0345Yes50%↑ 0.0335Yes50%↑ 0.0325Yes50%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado
BBC
All six passengers presumed dead after plane went missing off US coast
The aircraft lost communication with flight controllers after significantly dropping in altitude, according to flight data.
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off · united states of americaCanada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Current probabilityYes6%Mercado relacionado$53 24h volumeoff · aircraftWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?Current probabilityOctober 31Yes3%December 31Yes11%Mercado relacionado$57K Total volumeaircraft · united states of americaHow many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?Current probability2Yes45%3Yes19%4+Yes7%More outcomes on Polymarket ↗Mercado relacionado$931 24h volume
CoinDesk
Ether's bitcoin-beating Q3 rally came with a catch. Liquidity thinned.
Ether beat bitcoin in the third quarter, but its market liquidity got thinner, according to Coingecko.
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BBC
Right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro wins first round of Brazil election
With neither candidate getting more than 50% of the vote, the election will go to a run-off on 25 October.
Mercados ligados3
flavio · bolsonaro · brazilWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Current probabilityYes1%Melhor match$45K 24h volumeflavio · bolsonaro · brazilWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Current probabilityYes<1%Mercado relacionado$8K 24h volumeflavio · bolsonaro · brazilWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Current probabilityYes99%Mercado relacionado$7K 24h volume