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Brazil Presidential Election

ActivePolitics19 outcomesEnds Oct 5, 2026

Flávio Bolsonaro leads at 84.5%, ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (15.5%) and Geraldo Alckmin (0.15%).

24h volume
$6.3M
Total volume
$171.6M
Whales
110
Fresh wallets
95
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 19Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Flávio Bolsonaro$16.5M vol84.5%+21.4Buy Yes 84.5¢Buy No 15.5¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$17.0M vol15.5%−21.0Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢
Geraldo Alckmin$9.1M vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Renan Santos$17.1M vol0.05%−0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Camilo Santana$5.6M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Augusto Cury$5.4M vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Tarcisio de Freitas$15.0M vol · resolved0.0%-
Jair Bolsonaro$7.6M vol · resolved0.0%-
Fernando Haddad$7.7M vol · resolved0.0%-
Michelle Bolsonaro$10.4M vol · resolved0.0%-
Eduardo Bolsonaro$10.5M vol · resolved0.0%-
Ratinho Júnior$10.5M vol · resolved0.0%-

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.