Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

ActiveMilitary StrikesEnds Jan 1, 2027

The market prices Yes at 15.0% and No at 85.0%.

24h volume: $378.2K
Total volume: $71.9M
Whales: 67
Fresh wallets: 4

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Chance

Yes 15.0%No 85.0%Yes 0.0pp 1W

OutcomeChance24hTrade on Polymarket

Yes15.0%-Buy Yes 15.0¢

No85.0%-Buy No 85.0¢

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$6.8K

All trades · 5m2

Buy pressure50%

@HuludubuWhale59m ago

$7,225 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 8,500
Profit if right: $1,275

@65765757Whale2h ago

$8,712 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,249
Profit if right: $1,537

@LulaVaiPerderWhale2h ago

$82,781 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 97,389
Profit if right: $14,608

@RenanPresidente.Whale2h ago

$68,361 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 80,425
Profit if right: $12,064

@ZbinikWhale1d ago

$6,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $1,200

@yeezaFresh1d ago

$500 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.17
Shares: 2,941
Profit if right: $2,441

@TigerofthehoodWhale2d ago

$11,653 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 14,040
Profit if right: $2,387

@Mataty1Whale2d ago

$12,750 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $2,250

@Jest55Whale2d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@ED99999Whale2d ago

$5,583 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 6,727
Profit if right: $1,144

@ED99999Whale2d ago

$5,829 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 7,023
Profit if right: $1,194

@CarWhale2d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@AnjunWhale2d ago

$18,666 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $3,556

@dahu1Whale2d ago

$5,878 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 6,998
Profit if right: $1,120

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale2d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@ED99999Whale2d ago

$13,206 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 15,722
Profit if right: $2,515

0xff1e…5e2dWhale2d ago

$9,292 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 11,062
Profit if right: $1,770

@EnzoFabiWhale2d ago

$5,301 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,236
Profit if right: $935

@ED99999Whale2d ago

$12,517 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 14,901
Profit if right: $2,384

@GOLADS96Whale3d ago

$11,163 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 13,133
Profit if right: $1,970

@CarWhale3d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@Michael-The-TaxiarchWhale3d ago

$6,659 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 7,834
Profit if right: $1,175

@JJoWhale3d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@DebosnysWhale3d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@AnjunWhale3d ago

$18,889 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $3,333

@Jest55Whale3d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@tetroseWhale3d ago

$26,003 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 173,353
Profit if right: $147,350

@MisTKyWhale3d ago

$21,250 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,750

0xad96…d498Whale3d ago

$42,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 50,000
Profit if right: $7,500

@carlos484Whale3d ago

$20,000 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 23,256
Profit if right: $3,256

0xe234…304aWhale3d ago

$6,947 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.14
Shares: 49,623
Profit if right: $42,676

@pravii-beregWhale3d ago

$5,175 buying No

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 5,948
Profit if right: $773

@Valen9Whale4d ago

$13,050 buying No

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,950

@stupid22Whale4d ago

$5,201 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 6,048
Profit if right: $847

@DebosnysWhale4d ago

$5,953 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 6,922
Profit if right: $969

@zine13Whale4d ago

$13,984 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 16,260
Profit if right: $2,276

@MisTKyWhale5d ago

$12,523 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 14,562
Profit if right: $2,039

@lauremanWhale6d ago

$5,534 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,511
Profit if right: $977

@GOLADS96Whale6d ago

$12,470 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 14,500
Profit if right: $2,030

@AllByMyseIfWhale6d ago

$11,050 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 13,000
Profit if right: $1,950

@tsybkaWhale6d ago

$35,499 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 41,763
Profit if right: $6,264

@classifiedWhale6d ago

$8,670 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,200
Profit if right: $1,530

@CarWhale6d ago

$42,572 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 50,003
Profit if right: $7,430

@MEPPWhale7d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@gkeqdWhale8d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@VilgefortzWhale8d ago

$7,560 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $1,440

@gkeqdWhale8d ago

$10,790 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 13,000
Profit if right: $2,210

@ZbinikWhale9d ago

$19,992 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 23,800
Profit if right: $3,808

@DragontreeWhale9d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@EatprayloveWhale9d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@TigerofthehoodWhale9d ago

$16,600 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,400

@99problems123Whale9d ago

$23,285 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.17
Shares: 136,972
Profit if right: $113,686

@touristsWhale9d ago

$41,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 50,000
Profit if right: $8,500

0x9eb4…89b0Whale9d ago

$5,005 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 6,030
Profit if right: $1,025

@LlamaEnjoyerWhale9d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@JJoWhale9d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@DebosnysWhale9d ago

$5,880 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,120

@Javier777MileiWhale9d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale9d ago

$16,800 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,200

@tetroseWhale9d ago

$14,347 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.16
Shares: 89,668
Profit if right: $75,322

0xff1e…5e2dWhale9d ago

$8,348 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 9,938
Profit if right: $1,590

@JJoWhale9d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@LolakisWhale9d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@DebosnysWhale9d ago

$5,950 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,050

@dromedaryyWhale9d ago

$42,279 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 281,857
Profit if right: $239,579

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale9d ago

$17,000 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,000

0xe639…082aWhale9d ago

$132,456 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 155,831
Profit if right: $23,375

@Valen9Whale9d ago

$11,097 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 12,904
Profit if right: $1,807

@m00nWhale9d ago

$6,880 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $1,120

@Mrkrabs1701Whale9d ago

$12,900 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $2,100

0xe639…082aWhale9d ago

$67,195 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 79,053
Profit if right: $11,858

@gkeqdWhale10d ago

$5,180 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.14
Shares: 37,002
Profit if right: $31,821

@freeman123Whale10d ago

$50,000 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 58,140
Profit if right: $8,140

@DebosnysWhale10d ago

$12,750 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $2,250

0xff1e…5e2dWhale10d ago

$21,250 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,750

@ddurrrrrrWhale10d ago

$21,250 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,750

@stupid22Whale10d ago

$6,502 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 7,561
Profit if right: $1,059

@DebosnysWhale11d ago

$17,689 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 20,568
Profit if right: $2,880

@pugdevWhale11d ago

$48,676 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 56,600
Profit if right: $7,924

@pugdevWhale11d ago

$21,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,500

@zthunderfuryWhale12d ago

$8,600 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,400

@Valen9Whale12d ago

$17,200 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $2,800

@m00nWhale12d ago

$5,950 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,050

@AnjunWhale12d ago

$9,444 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $1,667

@m00nWhale12d ago

$5,986 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 7,043
Profit if right: $1,056

@adonpoliWhale12d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

@tetroseWhale12d ago

$21,136 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 140,905
Profit if right: $119,769

0xff1e…5e2dWhale12d ago

$21,250 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,750

@DebosnysWhale12d ago

$21,250 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $3,750

@AnjunWhale12d ago

$18,889 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $3,333

@AllByMyseIfWhale12d ago

$30,100 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $4,900

@pBs1337Whale13d ago

$17,200 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $2,800

@meagainsttheworldWhale13d ago

$5,250 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $29,750

@WarriorHWhale13d ago

$5,160 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $840

0xad96…d498Whale13d ago

$5,941 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,989
Profit if right: $1,048

0xff1e…5e2dWhale13d ago

$8,500 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,500

0xad96…d498Whale13d ago

$83,164 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 97,840
Profit if right: $14,676

@dahu1Whale13d ago

$10,030 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 11,800
Profit if right: $1,770

@popWhale13d ago

$6,800 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $1,200

@Parz1vaIWhale13d ago

$6,720 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $1,280

@Parz1vaIWhale13d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@DropperWhale13d ago

$13,263 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 15,790
Profit if right: $2,526

@DropperWhale13d ago

$7,726 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 9,197
Profit if right: $1,472

@EatprayloveWhale13d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@Valen9Whale13d ago

$16,800 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,200

@VilgefortzWhale13d ago

$8,484 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,100
Profit if right: $1,616

@cocos228Whale13d ago

$20,700 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 24,643
Profit if right: $3,943

@EatprayloveWhale13d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@BeneGesseritVoiceWhale14d ago

$8,299 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 9,999
Profit if right: $1,700

@aenews2Whale14d ago

$6,225 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $1,275

@aenews2Whale14d ago

$6,640 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $1,360

@aenews2Whale14d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@aenews2Whale14d ago

$16,600 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,400

@aenews2Whale14d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@lauremanWhale14d ago

$6,768 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 8,154
Profit if right: $1,386

@JJoWhale14d ago

$7,080 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 8,531
Profit if right: $1,450

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale15d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@RockyZetWhale15d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@Ronaldo2100Whale15d ago

$51,141 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 60,882
Profit if right: $9,741

@tetroseWhale15d ago

$24,304 buying Yes

Bought at: $0.16
Shares: 151,900
Profit if right: $127,596

@faceverificationWhale15d ago

$7,439 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 8,855
Profit if right: $1,417

@Ronaldo2100Whale15d ago

$17,761 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 21,145
Profit if right: $3,383

@AllByMyseIfWhale15d ago

$30,914 buying No

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 36,369
Profit if right: $5,455

0x2aa2…daf6Whale16d ago

$5,475 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 6,518
Profit if right: $1,043

@scoutWhale16d ago

$8,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@VilgefortzWhale16d ago

$25,956 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 30,900
Profit if right: $4,944

@VilgefortzWhale16d ago

$29,400 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $5,600

@VilgefortzWhale16d ago

$29,380 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 34,976
Profit if right: $5,596

@AngryRhinoWhale17d ago

$25,200 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 30,000
Profit if right: $4,800

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@touristsWhale17d ago

$17,282 buying No

Bought at: $0.82
Shares: 21,075
Profit if right: $3,794

@AnjunWhale17d ago

$9,222 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $1,889

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$7,515 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 9,054
Profit if right: $1,539

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale17d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$9,834 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 11,848
Profit if right: $2,014

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$8,766 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,561
Profit if right: $1,795

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$18,260 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 22,000
Profit if right: $3,740

@VilgefortzWhale17d ago

$33,200 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 40,000
Profit if right: $6,800

@HukaBarsWhale18d ago

$10,000 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 11,905
Profit if right: $1,905

@VilgefortzWhale18d ago

$8,474 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,210
Profit if right: $1,736

@touristsWhale18d ago

$8,200 buying No

Bought at: $0.82
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,800

@AnjunWhale19d ago

$7,470 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $1,530

@AnjunWhale19d ago

$8,300 buying No

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,700

0x9a03…e88eFresh27d ago

$1,015 buying No

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 1,180
Profit if right: $165

@lokykoFresh40d ago

$8,352 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 9,943
Profit if right: $1,591

@xingkaixingkai2Fresh42d ago

$5,838 buying No

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 6,950
Profit if right: $1,112