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Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

ActiveWorld6 outcomesEnds Oct 20, 2026

Remain 40–60% leads at 55.0%, ahead of Remain 20–40% (20.5%) and Remain 60–80% (20.0%).

24h volume
$1.3K
Total volume
$34.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Remain 40–60%$6.0K vol55.0%-Buy Yes 55.0¢Buy No 45.0¢
Remain 20–40%$8.3K vol20.5%+10.0Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Remain 60–80%$4.5K vol20.0%−12.0Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Remain 80%+$2.3K vol7.8%+2.4Buy Yes 7.8¢Buy No 92.3¢
Remain <20%$2.4K vol4.0%−0.9Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Leave wins$10.8K vol1.6%+0.1Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.