Polymarket Economy Odds
Fed rate decisions, inflation, recession, jobs data and company markets, ordered by total volume. Each row shows the leading outcome and its probability, 24-hour and total volume, and how many whales ($5,000+ buys) and brand-new wallets have bet on it.
Market
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?50$204.7K$54.4MJan 1, 27
Fed Decision in October?1449$2.4M$44.4MOct 29, 26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?160$102.5K$15.0MJan 1, 27
Largest Company end of December 2026?40$16.6K$8.5MJan 1, 27
Fed rate cut by...?20$2.1K$3.8MJan 29, 28Fed Decision in December?92$182.5K$3.7MDec 10, 26
US recession by end of 2026?20$8.2K$2.3MDec 31, 26
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?00$1.3K$1.9MDec 31, 26
How high will inflation get in 2026?10$290$1.5MFeb 1, 27
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?00$99$1.1MJan 1, 27
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?40$10.3K$1.0MJan 1, 27
China Annual GDP Growth 202600$3.1K$934.4KFeb 1, 27
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?100$53.5K$851.7KDec 10, 26
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?00$0$718.0KJan 1, 27
ECB Interest Rates: October 202611$18.0K$619.3KOct 30, 26
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?10$360$564.4KApr 1, 27Fed Decision in January?00$43.7K$549.0KJan 28, 27
US x Cuba economic deal by...?00$108$442.8KJan 1, 27Largest Company end of October 2026?10$43.9K$414.2KNov 1, 26
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?00$26.2K$397.8KJan 1, 27
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)00$25.2K$373.4KDec 9, 26
Bank of England decision in November?20$71$314.8KNov 5, 26
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?00$305$245.4KJan 1, 27How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?00$5.7K$235.3KDec 31, 26
Bank of Japan Decision in October?10$2.0K$224.3KOct 30, 26
Which companies will the US take a stake in?00$319$216.3KJan 1, 27
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?00$0$188.0KMar 1, 27
Bank of Canada Decision in October?00$584$182.5KOct 28, 26
Brazil Annual Inflation 202600$1.6K$167.0KJan 13, 27
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November00$15.0K$145.0KNov 4, 26
U.K. Annual Inflation 202600$61$139.6KJan 21, 27
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?00$175$122.3KJan 1, 27How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?00$2.1K$120.1KDec 31, 26
Eurozone Annual Inflation 202600$146$119.4KJan 20, 27
USD x Iranian rials End of December?10$719$117.8KDec 31, 26
China Annual Inflation 202600$1.5K$115.7KJan 11, 27
UK Annual GDP Growth 202600$85$111.9KFeb 13, 27How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?00$3.9K$110.2KDec 31, 26How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?10$2.9K$106.1KDec 31, 26
US economic state at the end of 2026?00$726$104.5KFeb 1, 27
India Annual Inflation 202600$0$102.8KJan 13, 27
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?00$176$99.1KJan 15, 27
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?00$2.5K$96.9KOct 28, 26
Bank of Israel Decision in October?00$23.1K$95.7KOct 21, 26
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?00$62$94.8KJan 1, 27
South Africa Annual Inflation 202600$623$93.3KJan 21, 27Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?00$20$92.1KJan 1, 27
Bank of Russia decision in October?00$9.5K$91.7KOct 24, 26
GDP growth in 202600$2$88.5KJan 29, 27
Mexico Annual Inflation 202600$182$84.9KJan 9, 27