Polymarket Election Odds
Presidential, parliamentary, primary and local election markets on Polymarket, ordered by total volume. Each row shows the leading outcome and its probability, 24-hour and total volume, and how many whales ($5,000+ buys) and brand-new wallets have bet on it.
Market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202894$228.5K$1.29BNov 8, 28
Presidential Election Winner 202885$91.9K$716.9MNov 8, 28
Republican Presidential Nominee 202851$275.8K$712.0MNov 8, 28
Next French Presidential Election3448$633.6K$152.2MApr 19, 27
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?7833$281.0K$46.9MOct 28, 26
California Governor Election Winner110$12.1K$41.9MNov 4, 26
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms8513$360.7K$24.3MNov 4, 26
Which party will win the House in 2026?909$133.5K$17.9MNov 4, 26
Los Angeles Mayoral Election190$34.3K$15.4MJun 3, 26
Trump out as President before 2027?102$54.6K$12.6MJan 1, 27
Next Prime Minister of Sweden136$25.8K$10.2MSep 14, 26
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?4113$245.8K$6.8MNov 4, 26
Next Prime Minister of Romania?01$62.5K$5.4MJan 1, 28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?30$2.2K$3.9MNov 4, 26
Texas Senate Election Winner396$114.4K$3.9MNov 4, 26
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?30$2.0K$3.2MNov 3, 26
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?13$2.1K$2.5MNov 8, 28
Maine Senate Election Winner90$5.5K$2.3MNov 4, 26
Next Prime Minister of Spain?88$22.1K$1.9MApr 1, 28
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?191$46.1K$1.8MNov 4, 26
Michigan Senate Election Winner92$83.9K$1.8MNov 4, 26
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory64$292.9K$1.7MOct 26, 26
Alaska Governor Election Winner20$402$1.5MNov 4, 26Alaska Senate Election Winner210$19.1K$1.4MNov 4, 26
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?810$37.3K$1.3MOct 26, 26
Ohio Senate Election Winner122$86.6K$1.3MNov 4, 26Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner514$7.6K$1.2MOct 25, 26
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?00$3.1K$1.2MJan 1, 27
Bulgaria Presidential Election32$3.4K$1.2MOct 26, 26
Taipei Mayor Election Winner433$47.8K$1.2MNov 29, 26
Argentina Presidential Election Winner12$62.5K$927.0KOct 25, 27
Kansas Senate Election Winner80$3.1K$914.3KNov 4, 26
Iowa Senate Election Winner50$6.4K$896.3KNov 4, 26
Israeli Legislative Election Winner71$100.5K$893.2KOct 28, 26
South Carolina Senate Election Winner90$5.0K$799.9KNov 4, 26
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner10$5.5K$724.3KNov 4, 26Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?70$70.6K$715.1KNov 4, 26
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?00$167$705.6KNov 4, 26
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner00$0$677.8KMay 11, 26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?30$4.5K$669.6KJan 1, 27
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?00$2.5K$640.0KJan 1, 27
Nebraska Senate Election Winner50$12.6K$633.4KNov 4, 26Texas Governor Election Winner42$10.8K$575.1KNov 4, 262027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?00$2.9K$558.3KJul 1, 27
Lima Mayoral Election Winner20$1.3K$544.2KOct 5, 26
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?40$9.3K$532.7KOct 28, 26
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?00$109$472.8KJun 1, 27Ohio Governor Election Winner21$6.5K$438.3KNov 4, 26Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?70$78.6K$435.5KNov 4, 26
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?00$600$433.3KNov 4, 26