Polymarket Politics Odds
Every active Polymarket politics market, ordered by total volume: governments, leaders, legislation and policy. Each row shows the leading outcome and its probability, 24-hour and total volume, and how many whales ($5,000+ buys) and brand-new wallets have bet on it.
Market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202894$228.5K$1.29BNov 8, 28
Presidential Election Winner 202885$91.9K$716.9MNov 8, 28
Republican Presidential Nominee 202851$275.8K$712.0MNov 8, 28
Brazil Presidential Election175132$1.1M$184.8MOct 26, 26
Next French Presidential Election3448$633.6K$152.2MApr 19, 27
Netanyahu out by...?20$10.9K$124.6MJan 1, 27
Venezuela leader end of 2026?50$32.0K$98.4MJan 1, 27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?794$327.3K$74.4MJan 1, 27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?313$167.5K$73.7MJan 1, 27
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?7833$281.0K$46.9MOct 28, 26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?2714$67.7K$44.2MJan 1, 27
California Governor Election Winner110$12.1K$41.9MNov 4, 26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?935$542.8K$40.9MJan 1, 27
Iran leader end of 2026?20$10.6K$40.2MDec 31, 26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?30$1.6K$35.7MJan 1, 27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?10$3.8K$29.6MJan 1, 27
Putin out as President of Russia by...?214$10.6K$29.3MJul 1, 27
Iran leadership change by...?120$120.8K$27.5MJul 1, 27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?272$85.0K$27.3MJan 1, 27
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms8513$360.7K$24.3MNov 4, 26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?1617$38.0K$24.1MJan 1, 27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?10$4.3K$18.1MJan 1, 27
Which party will win the House in 2026?909$133.5K$17.9MNov 4, 26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?330$105.1K$17.1MJan 1, 27
Los Angeles Mayoral Election190$34.3K$15.4MJun 3, 26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?160$102.5K$15.0MJan 1, 27
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?855$1.2M$14.5MOct 31, 26
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?00$12$14.2MJan 1, 27
Trump out as President before 2027?102$54.6K$12.6MJan 1, 27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?00$5.6K$11.8MJan 1, 27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?10$0$10.9MJan 1, 27
Next Prime Minister of Sweden136$25.8K$10.2MSep 14, 26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?124$49.2K$8.7MJul 1, 27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?00$306$7.8MJan 1, 27
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?60$462$7.6MJan 1, 27
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?10$6.8K$7.1MJan 1, 27
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?4113$245.8K$6.8MNov 4, 26
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?00$8.0K$6.7MJan 1, 27
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?10$318$6.4MJan 1, 27
Russia nuclear test by...?00$0$6.3MJan 1, 27
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?291$2.6K$6.0MJan 1, 29
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?10$2.7K$5.5MJan 1, 27
Next Prime Minister of Romania?01$62.5K$5.4MJan 1, 28
Epstein client list released by...?00$0$4.4MJan 1, 27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?40$12.1K$4.3MJul 1, 27
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?31$3.8K$4.3MJul 1, 27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?30$2.2K$3.9MNov 4, 26
Texas Senate Election Winner396$114.4K$3.9MNov 4, 26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?10$1.6K$3.8MJan 1, 27
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?00$157$3.8MJan 1, 27