← All markets

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

ActiveOil5 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

25-29 leads at 55.0%, ahead of 30-34 (22.0%) and 20-24 (13.5%).

24h volume
$3.6K
Total volume
$47.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
25-29$16.6K vol55.0%+1.0Buy Yes 55.0¢Buy No 45.0¢
30-34$8.1K vol22.0%+4.5Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢
20-24$9.7K vol13.5%−5.5Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
<20$7.8K vol6.5%−2.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢
35+$5.6K vol0.75%+0.6Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.