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How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

ActiveOil5 outcomesEnds Oct 19, 2026

170-189 leads at 35.0%, ahead of 190-209 (33.5%) and <170 (18.5%).

24h volume: $2.3K
Total volume: $12.0K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

170-189$2.5K vol35.0%−9.0Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢

190-209$1.5K vol33.5%+2.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

<170$5.5K vol18.5%+7.5Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

210-229$252 vol6.0%+0.5Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

230+$2.3K vol0.35%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.