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How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?

ActiveOil5 outcomesEnds Oct 26, 2026

190-209 leads at 43.5%, ahead of 170-189 (31.0%) and 210-229 (14.5%).

24h volume: $2.2K
Total volume: $6.4K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

190-209$1.1K vol43.5%−2.0Buy Yes 43.5¢Buy No 56.5¢

170-189$655 vol31.0%−1.5Buy Yes 31.0¢Buy No 69.0¢

210-229$460 vol14.5%+4.0Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢

<170$3.8K vol8.3%+3.9Buy Yes 8.3¢Buy No 91.8¢

230+$533 vol3.0%−5.0Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.