October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

ActiveWeather4 outcomesEnds Nov 29, 2026

1st hottest leads at 94.8%, ahead of 3rd hottest (3.9%) and 2nd hottest (0.15%).

Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

11st hottest$17.0K vol94.8%−0.3Buy Yes 94.8¢Buy No 5.2¢

23rd hottest$8.1K vol3.9%−0.7Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.2¢

32nd hottest$1.9K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

44th or lower $1.4K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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