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Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

ActiveOil8 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

US leads at 28.0%, ahead of Australia (17.5%) and Italy (15.5%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $51.3K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 2

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

US$20.2K vol28.0%-Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢

Australia$24 vol17.5%+1.0Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢

Italy$86 vol15.5%−0.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

UK$220 vol14.0%−1.0Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢

France$14.2K vol11.0%-Buy Yes 11.0¢Buy No 89.0¢

Greece$65 vol10.9%−0.1Buy Yes 10.9¢Buy No 89.1¢

Germany$39 vol8.0%−0.5Buy Yes 8.0¢Buy No 92.0¢

Netherlands$16.5K vol4.5%-Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.