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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

ActiveOil5 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

10+ leads at 22.0%, ahead of 20+ (6.5%) and 30+ (5.5%).

24h volume
$168
Total volume
$5.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
10+$1.2K vol22.0%+1.0Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢
20+$1.6K vol6.5%−1.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢
30+$670 vol5.5%−10.5Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
50+$533 vol3.6%−2.1Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢
40+$1.1K vol2.9%+0.2Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.