2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner
Ottinho leads at 46.0%, ahead of Iron Honor (41.0%) and Renegade (15.0%).
- 24h volume
- $3
- Total volume
- $37
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the 2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Ottinho a 46% chance, ahead of Iron Honor at 41% and Renegade at 15%. Over the last 24 hours it is down 1.6 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more was tracked on this market while it traded. $37 has been traded in total, $3 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
The market closed on May 3, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed horse who wins the 2026 Kentucky Derby, scheduled for May 2, 2026.
If a listed horse withdraws, is disqualified by May 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or does not participate in the 2026 Kentucky Derby, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the race organizer. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the horse that accumulated more points in the Road to the Kentucky Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the horse whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Kentucky Derby is cancelled, postponed, or no winner is announced by May 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Kentucky Derby website (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/).
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.