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AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 5%+ leads at 39.5%, ahead of Republican 0-5% (34.0%) and Republican 10-15% (23.8%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$1.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 5%+$188 vol39.5%+0.4Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Republican 0-5%$112 vol34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Republican 10-15%$47 vol23.8%+0.5Buy Yes 23.8¢Buy No 76.2¢
Democrat 0-5%$259 vol19.3%−2.8Buy Yes 19.3¢Buy No 80.8¢
Republican 5-10%$239 vol16.3%−2.1Buy Yes 16.3¢Buy No 83.7¢
Republican 15-20%$199 vol15.6%−6.7Buy Yes 15.6¢Buy No 84.5¢
Republican 20-25%$305 vol6.9%+0.1Buy Yes 6.9¢Buy No 93.1¢
Republican 25%+$292 vol5.0%+0.3Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.