Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

ActiveUnited States5 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrats Sweep leads at 66.5%, ahead of R Senate, D House (27.5%) and Republicans Sweep (7.5%).

24h volume: $985.4K
Total volume: $17.8M
Whales: 44
Fresh wallets: 6

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrats Sweep$4.7M vol66.5%+2.0Buy Yes 66.5¢Buy No 33.5¢

R Senate, D House$2.6M vol27.5%−1.0Buy Yes 27.5¢Buy No 72.5¢

Republicans Sweep$5.7M vol7.5%+1.0Buy Yes 7.5¢Buy No 92.5¢

D Senate, R House$2.7M vol0.85%+0.3Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.2¢

Other$2.1M vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@FlyingPlatyWhale2h ago

$18,513 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 20,344
Profit if right: $1,831

@Andylow5Whale2h ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.09
Shares: 55,804
Profit if right: $50,804

@SlavaUkrainiWhale2h ago

$37,872 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 41,617
Profit if right: $3,746

@oxbusWhale2h ago

$5,520 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $480

@SlavaUkrainiWhale2h ago

$20,396 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 22,413
Profit if right: $2,017

@CunglyWhale13h ago

$8,753 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 9,515
Profit if right: $761

0x3b84…c8deFresh13h ago

$956 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 11,948
Profit if right: $10,992

@SlavaUkrainiWhale18h ago

$44,558 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 48,965
Profit if right: $4,407

@RockyZetWhale18h ago

$33,929 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 36,879
Profit if right: $2,950

@TigerofthehoodWhale18h ago

$9,200 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $800

@Andylow5Whale18h ago

$10,000 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 119,048
Profit if right: $109,048

@RockyZetWhale19h ago

$19,221 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 20,892
Profit if right: $1,671

@Andylow5Whale20h ago

$9,258 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.07
Shares: 128,581
Profit if right: $119,323

@RockyZetWhale20h ago

$6,650 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,228
Profit if right: $578

@Valen9Whale20h ago

$9,300 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $700

@timetowanderWhale1d ago

$7,535 buying No on R Senate, D House

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 10,465
Profit if right: $2,930

@BreakTheBankWhale1d ago

$62,951 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.34
Shares: 185,151
Profit if right: $122,200

@AnjunWhale1d ago

$7,424 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.34
Shares: 21,836
Profit if right: $14,412

@TeamAWhale1d ago

$156,942 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.66
Shares: 237,791
Profit if right: $80,849

@TeamAWhale1d ago

$79,407 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 122,164
Profit if right: $42,757

@flawfenceWhale1d ago

$7,000 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $13,000

@timetowanderWhale1d ago

$17,500 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 50,000
Profit if right: $32,500

@Andylow5Whale1d ago

$9,501 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.07
Shares: 135,729
Profit if right: $126,228

@BreakTheBankWhale2d ago

$224,000 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 350,000
Profit if right: $126,000

@DOF2Whale2d ago

$41,862 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 65,410
Profit if right: $23,547

@lomneivanWhale2d ago

$151,200 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 420,000
Profit if right: $268,800

@DOF2Whale2d ago

$5,081 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 7,939
Profit if right: $2,858

@SlavaUkrainiWhale2d ago

$6,573 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 7,223
Profit if right: $650

@Andylow5Whale2d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.09
Shares: 55,556
Profit if right: $50,556

@SlavaUkrainiWhale2d ago

$50,556 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 55,556
Profit if right: $5,000

@SlavaUkrainiWhale2d ago

$21,980 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 24,154
Profit if right: $2,174

@burrito338Whale2d ago

$27,600 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 30,000
Profit if right: $2,400

@11122Whale2d ago

$13,800 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,200

@FlyingPlatyWhale2d ago

$6,181 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 6,792
Profit if right: $611

@TigerofthehoodWhale2d ago

$14,131 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 15,360
Profit if right: $1,229

@Andylow5Whale2d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 62,500
Profit if right: $57,500

@RockyZetWhale2d ago

$28,317 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 30,780
Profit if right: $2,462

@lugWhale2d ago

$13,800 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,200

@11122Whale2d ago

$15,640 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 17,000
Profit if right: $1,360

@Valen9Whale2d ago

$5,490 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,968
Profit if right: $477

@RockyZetWhale2d ago

$8,483 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 9,220
Profit if right: $738

@Valen9Whale2d ago

$5,504 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,983
Profit if right: $479

@FlyingPlatyWhale4d ago

$44,611 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 49,023
Profit if right: $4,412

@Andylow5Whale4d ago

$5,800 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 72,500
Profit if right: $66,700

@GollumGekkoWhale4d ago

$7,820 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,500
Profit if right: $680

@Cal800Whale4d ago

$10,416 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 11,200
Profit if right: $784

@Andylow5Whale4d ago

$5,946 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 74,326
Profit if right: $68,380

@FolletinWhale4d ago

$10,947 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 11,899
Profit if right: $952

@pantomimeWhale4d ago

$21,493 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 23,362
Profit if right: $1,869

@Andylow5Whale4d ago

$9,101 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 113,763
Profit if right: $104,662

@Valen9Whale4d ago

$9,200 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $800

@11122Whale4d ago

$9,200 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $800

@EatprayloveWhale4d ago

$9,840 buying No on D Senate, R House

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $160

@Joe-BidenWhale4d ago

$7,738 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 20,913
Profit if right: $13,175

@pantomimeWhale4d ago

$8,762 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 9,523
Profit if right: $762

@bigphillystyleFresh4d ago

$1,434 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 17,922
Profit if right: $16,489

@HashbrownWhale4d ago

$5,670 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $3,330

@plumbisWhale4d ago

$23,000 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $2,000

@HashbrownWhale5d ago

$8,680 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 14,000
Profit if right: $5,320

@scottiliciousWhale7d ago

$6,798 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,389
Profit if right: $591

@scottiliciousWhale7d ago

$5,750 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,250
Profit if right: $500

@scottiliciousWhale7d ago

$5,750 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,250
Profit if right: $500

@scottiliciousWhale7d ago

$5,144 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,591
Profit if right: $447

@su281Whale8d ago

$7,660 buying No on D Senate, R House

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 7,777
Profit if right: $117

@legendapiWhale8d ago

$10,704 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 17,265
Profit if right: $6,561

@legendapiFresh8d ago

$2,799 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 4,589
Profit if right: $1,790

@Valen9Whale9d ago

$18,400 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $1,600

@scottiliciousWhale9d ago

$7,360 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $640

@flawfenceWhale9d ago

$12,018 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.08
Shares: 150,227
Profit if right: $138,209

@plumbisWhale9d ago

$72,036 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 78,300
Profit if right: $6,264

@LlamaEnjoyerWhale9d ago

$7,360 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $640

@fpjsqjWhale10d ago

$5,720 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 6,150
Profit if right: $431

@AsteraWhale10d ago

$6,539 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 10,379
Profit if right: $3,840

@bullishkirbyWhale10d ago

$14,800 buying No on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 40,000
Profit if right: $25,200

@frenchlaundryWhale10d ago

$22,201 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 35,239
Profit if right: $13,038

@plumbisWhale10d ago

$5,750 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,250
Profit if right: $500

@tetroseWhale10d ago

$15,298 buying Yes on R Senate, D House

Bought at: $0.30
Shares: 51,386
Profit if right: $36,089

@pantomimeWhale11d ago

$5,519 buying Yes on R Senate, D House

Bought at: $0.27
Shares: 20,440
Profit if right: $14,921

@plumbisWhale11d ago

$6,189 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,727
Profit if right: $538

@plumbisWhale11d ago

$5,060 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 5,500
Profit if right: $440

@plumbisWhale11d ago

$7,360 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $640

@plumbisWhale11d ago

$7,360 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $640

@plumbisWhale11d ago

$7,776 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,452
Profit if right: $676

@plumbisWhale12d ago

$13,950 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $1,050

0x8b95…19baFresh13d ago

$1,000 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 1,064
Profit if right: $64

@BettongWhale13d ago

$6,279 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 9,660
Profit if right: $3,381

@pwnatorulWhale13d ago

$17,670 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 19,000
Profit if right: $1,330

@The-JokerWhale13d ago

$7,689 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 12,014
Profit if right: $4,325

@scottiliciousWhale13d ago

$12,568 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 13,661
Profit if right: $1,093

@PolBanditWhale13d ago

$32,706 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 35,550
Profit if right: $2,844

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$5,460 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $540

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$5,460 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $540

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$6,370 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $630

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$7,280 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $720

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$6,370 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $630

@FlyingPlatyWhale13d ago

$6,370 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $630

@pwnatorulWhale13d ago

$9,200 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $800

@FolletinWhale13d ago

$5,520 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $480

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$6,440 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $560

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$6,440 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $560

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$5,520 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $480

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$6,440 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $560

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$7,360 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $640

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$6,440 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $560

@SlavaUkrainiWhale13d ago

$6,440 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $560

@plumbisWhale13d ago

$5,580 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $420

@plumbisWhale13d ago

$9,300 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $700

@plumbisWhale13d ago

$9,300 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $700

@SlavaUkrainiWhale14d ago

$17,523 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 19,047
Profit if right: $1,524

@fukumeanWhale14d ago

$5,351 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 8,772
Profit if right: $3,421

@lukny1410Whale14d ago

$17,003 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 18,283
Profit if right: $1,280

@Paul973973Whale15d ago

$10,000 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 10,770
Profit if right: $770

@carlaABWhale16d ago

$25,426 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 27,637
Profit if right: $2,211

@ChoYouFresh16d ago

$2,000 buying Yes on Democrats Sweep

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 3,282
Profit if right: $1,282

@schizohedgehogWhale17d ago

$62,293 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 69,214
Profit if right: $6,921

@schizohedgehogWhale17d ago

$37,049 buying No on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 41,166
Profit if right: $4,117

@07980090Fresh27d ago

$1,756 buying Yes on Republicans Sweep

Bought at: $0.12
Shares: 14,636
Profit if right: $12,880