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AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 55-60% leads at 33.0%, ahead of Republican 60-65% (31.5%) and Republican 65-70% (20.5%).

24h volume
$707
Total volume
$23.9K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 55-60%$5.8K vol33.0%+2.0Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢
Republican 60-65%$6.0K vol31.5%+4.0Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Republican 65-70%$3.5K vol20.5%+7.0Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Republican 50-55%$1.9K vol19.9%+4.6Buy Yes 19.9¢Buy No 80.1¢
Republican 70-75%$944 vol9.9%−0.1Buy Yes 9.9¢Buy No 90.1¢
Republican 35-45%$3.3K vol3.6%−0.4Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢
Republican 45-50%$558 vol2.4%−2.5Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢
Republican 0-35%$579 vol1.5%+0.3Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢
Democrat Wins$745 vol1.2%−0.7Buy Yes 1.2¢Buy No 98.8¢
Republican 75%+$595 vol0.60%+0.1Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.