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Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Peltola 3-6% leads at 35.5%, ahead of Peltola 0-3% (34.5%) and Sullivan 0-3% (15.5%).

24h volume: $1.1K
Total volume: $16.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Peltola 3-6%$4.0K vol35.5%+2.0Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢

Peltola 0-3%$4.0K vol34.5%-Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Sullivan 0-3%$4.9K vol15.5%−0.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Sullivan 3-6%$1.6K vol10.5%-Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢

Sullivan 6-9%$361 vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Peltola 9-12%$248 vol3.6%−0.2Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

Sullivan 12+%$489 vol3.0%+0.1Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Sullivan 9-12%$665 vol2.9%−0.7Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢

Peltola 6-9%$342 vol2.6%−0.4Buy Yes 2.6¢Buy No 97.3¢

Peltola 12+%$238 vol1.7%-Buy Yes 1.7¢Buy No 98.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.