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Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

ActiveAMZN7 outcomesEnds Dec 31, 2026

$2.50-$3.00T leads at 53.5%, ahead of $2.00-$2.50T (19.4%) and $3.00-$3.50T (19.1%).

24h volume
$887
Total volume
$46.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 7Chance
54%
19%+5.1%
19%+4.3%
6%
1%+0.5%
<1%
<1%

Market read

Who leads the Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026 market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give $2.50-$3.00T a 54% chance, ahead of $2.00-$2.50T at 19% and $3.00-$3.50T at 19%. 7 outcomes are listed. $2.50-$3.00T has risen from 49% on Oct 29 to 55% now.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $46.0K has been traded in total, $887 of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.

If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).

If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.