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AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 40-45% leads at 26.5%, ahead of Republican 35-40% (23.5%) and Republican 30-35% (16.5%).

24h volume
$1.0K
Total volume
$25.5K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 40-45%$5.3K vol26.5%-Buy Yes 26.5¢Buy No 73.5¢
Republican 35-40%$6.7K vol23.5%−8.5Buy Yes 23.5¢Buy No 76.5¢
Republican 30-35%$2.0K vol16.5%+5.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Republican 45-50%$4.5K vol12.0%+3.0Buy Yes 12.0¢Buy No 88.0¢
Republican 50-55%$1.1K vol5.1%−1.1Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 94.8¢
Republican 25-30%$840 vol4.8%+0.1Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.2¢
Republican 15-25%$835 vol4.2%+1.8Buy Yes 4.2¢Buy No 95.8¢
Republican 55%+$1.0K vol3.5%−0.1Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Republican 0-15%$2.5K vol2.5%-Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢
Democrat Wins$639 vol0.40%+0.1Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.