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AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 0-5% leads at 28.5%, ahead of Republican 5-10% (24.1%) and Democrat 0-5% (14.1%).

24h volume
$20
Total volume
$11.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 0-5%$1.5K vol28.5%-Buy Yes 28.5¢Buy No 71.5¢
Republican 5-10%$2.7K vol24.1%+1.1Buy Yes 24.1¢Buy No 75.9¢
Democrat 0-5%$1.5K vol14.1%+4.3Buy Yes 14.1¢Buy No 85.9¢
Republican 10-15%$1.7K vol13.4%+0.6Buy Yes 13.4¢Buy No 86.6¢
Republican 20-25%$654 vol6.5%-Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢
Republican 15-20%$1.5K vol4.4%−0.1Buy Yes 4.4¢Buy No 95.6¢
Democrat 5%+$1.1K vol3.3%−2.0Buy Yes 3.3¢Buy No 96.8¢
Republican 25%+$469 vol0.65%-Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.