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AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 30-35% leads at 26.5%, ahead of Republican 25-30% (18.9%) and Republican 35-40% (15.5%).

24h volume
$130
Total volume
$24.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 30-35%$9.3K vol26.5%−0.9Buy Yes 26.5¢Buy No 73.5¢
Republican 25-30%$1.3K vol18.9%-Buy Yes 18.9¢Buy No 81.0¢
Republican 35-40%$4.8K vol15.5%−1.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢
Republican 40-45%$4.6K vol11.0%−0.5Buy Yes 11.0¢Buy No 89.0¢
Republican 15-25%$1.3K vol4.5%+0.4Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Republican 45-50%$1.8K vol3.9%-Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.2¢
Republican 0-15%$311 vol2.8%-Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.3¢
Republican 50-55%$369 vol2.1%+0.5Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢
Democrat Wins$277 vol1.3%−0.1Buy Yes 1.3¢Buy No 98.7¢
Republican 55%+$491 vol0.65%-Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.