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Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 10-15% leads at 33.0%, ahead of Republican 15-20% (23.5%) and Republican 5-10% (22.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $13.4K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 10-15%$2.8K vol33.0%-Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Republican 15-20%$4.3K vol23.5%−3.0Buy Yes 23.5¢Buy No 76.5¢

Republican 5-10%$1.1K vol22.0%+6.0Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢

Republican 20-25%$860 vol11.5%−3.5Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢

Republican 25-30%$733 vol10.8%+3.5Buy Yes 10.8¢Buy No 89.2¢

Republican 0-5%$749 vol9.8%+2.8Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢

Democrat Wins$980 vol5.9%+0.3Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.2¢

Republican 30-35%$689 vol4.3%-Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.7¢

Republican 40%+$578 vol3.4%−0.2Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢

Republican 35-40%$672 vol2.4%−0.8Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.