Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Completed Match leads at 54.0%, ahead of Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner (50.0%) and Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner (50.0%).
- 24h volume
- $11.3K
- Total volume
- $2.2K
- Whales
- 4
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Completed Match54.0%+1.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner$5 vol50.0%+7.0Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner50.0%+7.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.550.0%-Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.550.0%−12.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.550.0%+1.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.550.0%+12.0Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.550.0%-Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.550.0%-Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%-Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.550.0%+1.0Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%+33.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5$5 vol50.0%+0.5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Game Spread +/-1.5$10 vol50.0%-Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.548.0%−1.0Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.542.0%−8.0Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna$2.2K vol28.5%−10.5Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Completed Match a 54% chance, ahead of Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner at 50% and Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner at 50%. 17 outcomes are listed. Completed Match has risen from 51% on Oct 25 to 100% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 7 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 4 wallets since Oct 27, $65.7K in all. The most whale money went to Juan Manuel La Serna on Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna: $41.2K, 63% of the total. The largest single bet was $12.7K on Juan Manuel La Serna on Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 58¢ by @TennisAce1 on Oct 27. $2.2K has been traded in total, $11.3K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 2, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Juan Manuel La Serna.
This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Nick Hardt.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.