Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 leads at 58.5%, ahead of Completed Match (54.0%) and Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 (51.5%).
- 24h volume
- $29.9K
- Total volume
- $39.5K
- Whales
- 7
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.558.5%−0.5Completed Match$740 vol54.0%−0.5Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5$3 vol51.5%+1.5Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner50.0%+5.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.550.0%−16.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.550.0%+9.5Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5$31 vol50.0%+18.5Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.550.0%-Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.550.0%-Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%-Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5$248 vol50.0%−1.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5$2 vol44.5%+1.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner$2 vol42.0%−4.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$38.1K vol39.5%−5.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5$303 vol37.5%+3.0Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5$27 vol34.5%−4.5Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5$24 vol24.0%−3.5Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 a 59% chance, ahead of Completed Match at 54% and Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 at 52%. 17 outcomes are listed. Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 has fallen from 49% on Oct 25 to 0% now. Over the last 24 hours it is down 0.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 10 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 7 wallets since Oct 28, $74.2K in all. All of it went to Nikoloz Basilashvili on Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili. The largest single bet was $15.5K on Nikoloz Basilashvili on Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 81¢ by @999585 on Oct 28. $39.5K has been traded in total, $29.9K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 3, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jurij Rodionov.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.