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AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 3-6% leads at 16.0%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% (12.5%) and Democrat 9-12% (10.6%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$16.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 3-6%$2.1K vol16.0%-Buy Yes 16.0¢Buy No 84.0¢
Democrat 6-9%$1.7K vol12.5%-Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢
Democrat 9-12%$2.4K vol10.6%−0.4Buy Yes 10.6¢Buy No 89.4¢
Democrat 0-3%$1.4K vol10.3%−1.3Buy Yes 10.3¢Buy No 89.7¢
Democrat 12-15%$613 vol8.2%+0.7Buy Yes 8.2¢Buy No 91.8¢
Republican 0-3%$580 vol6.0%−0.1Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢
Democrat 15-18%$3.9K vol5.0%+0.3Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢
Democrat 18%+$304 vol3.9%-Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢
Republican 6%+$2.6K vol3.1%+0.1Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.8¢
Republican 3-6%$419 vol3.1%−0.3Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.