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AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 0-3% leads at 28.5%, ahead of Republican 6-9% (16.2%) and Republican 3-6% (16.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$13.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 0-3%$1.2K vol28.5%+1.0Buy Yes 28.5¢Buy No 71.5¢
Republican 6-9%$3.4K vol16.2%+2.2Buy Yes 16.2¢Buy No 83.8¢
Republican 3-6%$1.8K vol16.0%+0.5Buy Yes 16.0¢Buy No 84.0¢
Democrat 0-3%$3.1K vol15.0%+1.5Buy Yes 15.0¢Buy No 85.0¢
Democrat 6%+$807 vol5.1%-Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 95.0¢
Republican 15-18%$1.7K vol4.7%+1.1Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢
Republican 9-12%$222 vol4.6%−0.1Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢
Republican 12-15%$254 vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Democrat 3-6%$551 vol4.0%+0.8Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Republican 18%+$144 vol2.3%−0.5Buy Yes 2.3¢Buy No 97.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.