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AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 3-6% leads at 20.5%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% (16.5%) and Democrat 0-3% (16.5%).

24h volume
$5
Total volume
$13.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 3-6%$2.5K vol20.5%-Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Democrat 6-9%$2.8K vol16.5%−0.5Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 0-3%$2.6K vol16.5%-Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 9-12%$1.1K vol12.0%-Buy Yes 12.0¢Buy No 88.0¢
Republican 0-3%$576 vol11.9%+0.1Buy Yes 11.9¢Buy No 88.0¢
Democrat 12-15%$1.5K vol4.9%-Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.2¢
Republican 3-6%$663 vol3.4%-Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢
Democrat 18%+$392 vol0.85%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.2¢
Democrat 15-18%$555 vol0.80%-Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.2¢
Republican 6%+$573 vol0.20%-Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.